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#1 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Sep 2021
Location: California
Posts: 107
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Watch prices increasing again?
With all that has happened with the banks recently are people looking to hold assets more than cash again? Gold up, crypto up, i see watch prices on the rise also...
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#2 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Midlands, UK
Posts: 4,871
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I’ll keep collecting what I like, providing I can and if the AD will sell it to me.
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#3 |
2024 Pledge Member
Join Date: Oct 2009
Real Name: Gary
Location: USA
Watch: Daytona
Posts: 11,390
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Exactly, biggest problem is getting these SAs to cooperate with us...
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#4 |
2024 Pledge Member
Join Date: May 2015
Location: Rocky Mountains
Watch: what I wear
Posts: 261
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#5 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Oct 2018
Real Name: Matthew
Location: Tulsa, OK, USA
Posts: 1,930
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Speak it into existence.
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|Rolex Submariner 114060|Rolex Datejust 126234 silver dial| |Tudor Heritage Chrono 70330B| |Grand Seiko SBGT021 day-date quartz| |
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#6 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Dec 2021
Location: US
Posts: 2,078
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Prices at AD still the same.
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#7 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Sep 2021
Location: California
Posts: 439
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#8 |
Banned
Join Date: Aug 2019
Location: EU
Posts: 806
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If the stock market and bank crashes, the dollar will be the only thing you want to collect .. It's been like that every time .. Cash is king in that type of scenario ..
The smart money will then buy the crash with the dollar .. |
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#9 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Mar 2023
Location: Colorado
Posts: 3
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I have been following the pricing on Ebay and Chrono24 and in the last couple of weeks and more so in the last week I am seeing significant price drops. I think the recent Silicon Valley Bank failure has weakened consumer confidence. I also think other financial institutions will be put under the microscope and that is going to exacerbate a further weakening in the economic climate. I am in no hurry to buy at the moment so waiting to see if prices drop further is my plan.
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#10 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: USA
Watch: 116500LN
Posts: 331
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So it’s not happening anymore?
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#11 | |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Nov 2018
Location: California
Posts: 128
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Quote:
Also, It seems watch prices and the stock market track fairly closely which makes sense. |
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#12 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Sep 2022
Location: UK
Watch: 226570
Posts: 893
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It already happened. And it will happen again. Maybe harder - maybe not.
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#13 |
2024 Pledge Member
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: USA
Posts: 1,521
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In the last 3 years or so, haven't watch prices most closely correlated with crypto? Could have sworn I saw a chart somewhere.
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#14 | |
2024 Pledge Member
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: USA
Posts: 1,521
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Quote:
There are always certain rumors floating around about what gets discontinued, so the grey market dealers seem to raise prices accordingly to try to get ahead of that. Or maybe demand really increases as people try to bet on something being discontinued and making a quick buck on it a couple of weeks later. |
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#15 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Apr 2020
Location: Orange County
Posts: 1,778
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Liquidity has dried up, just look at the all the bumps from sellers and repeat listings.
Intra-grey transactions are the best bellwether, and many refs are continuing to drop. I haven’t seen any “hype” model bounce back, though some Rolexes have slowed on their decline. AP has continued to drop precipitously. Refer to WatchOut subforum for further discussion
__________________
AP 15500ST (Silver) // ♛ Rolex 126334 (Blue Roman, Fluted, Jubilee) // Ω Moonswatch (Mission to Pluto) // G-Shock GA2100-1A1 |
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#16 | |
2024 Pledge Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: Itinerant
Watch: 79010sg
Posts: 8,282
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Quote:
Yep this is happening. Believe. Though I’ve only been buying recently from AD (3 times in last year), where price are going up. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
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#17 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Aug 2010
Real Name: Brian
Location: East Coast
Watch: 124270
Posts: 978
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I've only been in this game 20 years - I'm sure some more experienced members can chime in.
What I have seen is the luxury watch market takes a HUGE hit when the stock market and the economy go down. You can't eat the Rolex. What you can do is turn it into cash - quick! Watches are some of the easiest and first things to sell when someone loses a job. Prices will not be down at the AD but you will be able to get "sought after" models because people will turn them down or pass on buying them altogether. I'm hoping a nice condition 14060M comes down to about $5-6k and then I will strike!
__________________
ROLEX: 16234-Datejust / 16570-Explorer 2 / 116610LN-Submariner / 124270-Explorer 1 / 126710BLNR-GMT-Master 2 TUDOR: M79030-B Black Bay 58 |
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#18 | |
Banned
Join Date: Feb 2023
Location: around
Posts: 180
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Quote:
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#19 | |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Mar 2020
Location: The South, USA
Posts: 960
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Quote:
The US is also still AWASH in cash and liquidity, and has been for some time now. Until that's drained out and layoffs step up, I don't see the AD marketplace changing much. I think allocations and deliveries stay steady this year. Maybe a few more people saying no and allowing people further down the list to take advantage. |
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#20 |
2024 Pledge Member
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: ATL
Watch: 126610LV
Posts: 2,698
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#21 |
2024 Pledge Member
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: United States
Watch: Rolex and Patek
Posts: 10,983
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A few YouTube folks have said the used market has bottomed and is on the rise.
Hard to tell where it is headed. |
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#22 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Aug 2020
Location: Australia
Posts: 1,365
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#23 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jan 2016
Location: HND/SEA/CDG/AMS
Watch: Clock on my A330
Posts: 764
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Are those Youtube folks also grey dealers?
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Rolex stories you won't find anywhere else: https://coron.et |
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#24 | |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Sep 2020
Location: denmark
Posts: 197
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Quote:
Sendt fra min SM-F711B med Tapatalk |
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#25 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Feb 2022
Location: USA
Posts: 129
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Luxury items like rolexes and boats and second / third homes always lag well behind the market... meaning, if the stock market is trending up, the luxury market will trend up after a certain lag. The reverse is also true. I would be shocked if watch prices have actually bottomed out, because I'm only now seeing some other luxury tier items start to really fall in price. I only buy from the AD and I only buy pieces I want to own - not sell - so I don't really care one way or another.
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#26 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 535
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If you’re still in the “watch as an investment vehicle” camp, now is the time to sell every in-production piece that currently commands more than MSRP. Maybe you wait to see if anything gets discontinued, but that’s about it. If anyone tells you different, they have something to gain by doing so.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
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#27 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jun 2009
Real Name: Brian
Location: Northern Virginia
Watch: One of Not Many
Posts: 17,892
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All the Rolex investors will be thrilled
__________________
Omega Seamaster SMP300m, Vacheron Constantin Traditionnelle Complete Calendar, Glashutte PanoInverse, Glashutte SeaQ Panorama Date, Omega Aqua Terra 150, Omega CK 859, Omega Speedmaster 3861 Moonwatch, Breitling Superocean Steelfish, JLC Atmos Transparent Clock |
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#28 |
2024 Pledge Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: Itinerant
Watch: 79010sg
Posts: 8,282
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This is precisely what’s going on. Nobodies like me getting some allocations because people higher up on the list or say no, but it’s still tight.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
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#29 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jun 2014
Location: mississippi river
Posts: 3,037
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Really? Chart for overall watch market:
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#30 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Sep 2020
Location: denmark
Posts: 197
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