View Single Post
Old 7 April 2022, 03:16 AM   #88
ansharma
"TRF" Member
 
ansharma's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: UK
Watch: Lange 1 Moonphase
Posts: 1,986
Quote:
Originally Posted by llngoc View Post
Any guess of the odds? 1 in 1000?

So glad to find out that MAD 1 is still available for the tribe. But still want a red one to match with the blue one.
I will have a guess! It depends on the number of units made which nobody knows. Let’s say there are 10,000 made (it may be much lower than this). Let’s assume 2,000 are sold already to members or those that had previously expressed interest.

So assuming there are 8,000 up for grabs and I believe there had already been over 20,000 raffle entries circa 2 weeks ago so maybe by now triple around 60,000 entries. So the odds may not be as bad as you think, perhaps a 13% chance.

You can also assume I am way off!
ansharma is offline   Reply With Quote