The Rolex Forums   The Rolex Watch

ROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEX


Go Back   Rolex Forums - Rolex Forum > Classifieds > WatchOut!!!

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 20 June 2019, 12:14 PM   #1
GMT2BATMAN
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: texas
Posts: 84
Prediction on the BLRO and SS Daytona

Reach down deep:
What will a mint Pepsi and SS Daytona w/ box and papers sell for in 10 years?
Will it outperform the S&P500?
GMT2BATMAN is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 12:15 PM   #2
TimeToWatch
Banned
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: TRF
Watch: Rolex & AP
Posts: 1,757
Who cares honestly? I bought my watches because I like their design. Too many people interested in these watches for the wrong reasons these days.
TimeToWatch is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 12:20 PM   #3
Bearxj86
2025 Pledge Member
 
Bearxj86's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2017
Location: Los Angeles
Watch: 3970
Posts: 3,911
Quote:
Originally Posted by TimeToWatch View Post
Who cares honestly? I bought my watches because I like their design. Too many people interested in these watches for the wrong reasons these days.
A lot of people care. Impressive design, amazing specs and how it makes you feel are fundumentals. Value retention to some is a strong second to many.
Bearxj86 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 12:29 PM   #4
TimeToWatch
Banned
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: TRF
Watch: Rolex & AP
Posts: 1,757
Quote:
Originally Posted by bearxj86 View Post
A lot of people care. Impressive design, amazing specs and how it makes you feel are fundumentals. Value retention to some is a strong second to many.
We’ve gone well beyond value retention. People are literally buying the 116500 not because they like it, but because they think they can outperform the S&P. This is tulip mania
TimeToWatch is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 August 2022, 06:49 PM   #5
Harry-57
2025 Pledge Member
 
Harry-57's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2018
Real Name: Harry
Location: England
Posts: 10,884
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bearxj86 View Post
Value retention to some is a strong second to many.
In that case, best not to buy watches. Simple as that.
Harry-57 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 12:24 PM   #6
Navarino
2024 Pledge Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2018
Location: USA
Posts: 3,411
I've been biting my tongue on a lot of these threads. I don't intend on sounding rude, but this is just getting ridiculous now.

FWIW, my money is on the S&P.
Navarino is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 12:28 PM   #7
inadeje
2025 Pledge Member
 
inadeje's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: Miami
Watch: me lose count.
Posts: 6,008
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carry The Interest View Post
I've been biting my tongue on a lot of these threads. I don't intend on sounding rude, but this is just getting ridiculous now.

FWIW, my money is on the S&P.
__________________
♛ 218206 Roman ♛ 116689 ♛ 126710BLRO ♛ 16520 white ♛ 16523 white ♛ 16610 ♛ 5513 Birth Year - ✠ Patek Philippe 5980/1R-001 - AP 26331ST Panda - Panerai Bronzo 671, 111 & 183, Ω Speedmaster 1957 Broad Arrow, Cartier Santos XL - Montblanc TimeWalker Chrono 41
inadeje is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 08:35 PM   #8
beshannon
"TRF" Member
 
beshannon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Real Name: Brian
Location: Northern Virginia
Watch: One of Not Many
Posts: 17,892
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carry The Interest View Post
I've been biting my tongue on a lot of these threads. I don't intend on sounding rude, but this is just getting ridiculous now.

FWIW, my money is on the S&P.
Completely agree, no longer a watch forum
__________________
IWC Portugieser 7 Day, Omega Seamaster SMP300m, Vacheron Constantin Traditionnelle Complete Calendar, Glashutte PanoInverse, Glashutte SeaQ Panorama Date, Omega Aqua Terra 150, Omega CK 859, Omega Speedmaster 3861 Moonwatch, Breitling Superocean Steelfish, JLC Atmos Transparent Clock
beshannon is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 10:18 PM   #9
travisb
"TRF" Member
 
travisb's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2009
Real Name: Travis
Location: FL / NYC
Watch: Yes..
Posts: 33,770
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carry The Interest View Post
I've been biting my tongue on a lot of these threads. I don't intend on sounding rude, but this is just getting ridiculous now.

FWIW, my money is on the S&P.
travisb is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 10:59 PM   #10
sillo
"TRF" Member
 
sillo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2015
Real Name: Sean
Location: NY
Watch: 5 Digit
Posts: 2,840
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carry The Interest View Post
I've been biting my tongue on a lot of these threads. I don't intend on sounding rude, but this is just getting ridiculous now.
Yeah the General Discussion sub forum has been a dump lately filled with threads just like this. Maybe there should be an investment sticky thread lol.

Also noticing a lot of these threads are started by members who joined this year.
__________________
14060 | 16570 | 16600 | 16700 | 16800 | 79260

@TheGMTHand
sillo is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 21 June 2019, 12:24 AM   #11
SlideRacker
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2019
Location: Orange County, CA
Watch: 116500LN Black
Posts: 561
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carry The Interest View Post
I've been biting my tongue on a lot of these threads. I don't intend on sounding rude, but this is just getting ridiculous now.

FWIW, my money is on the S&P.
Agreed but it’s a fun way to diversify among asset classes. Many people have precious metals as a small part of their portfolio. This is no different.
SlideRacker is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 21 June 2019, 12:32 AM   #12
cbalster
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2019
Location: Hillsborough
Posts: 744
Quote:
Originally Posted by SlideRacker View Post
Agreed but it’s a fun way to diversify among asset classes. Many people have precious metals as a small part of their portfolio. This is no different.
I do not think you're buying an uncorrelated asset that is going to offer diversification benefits to a traditional portfolio of stocks and bonds. But it is fun to look at cars and watches that are bought right. With you there.
cbalster is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 21 June 2019, 12:47 AM   #13
GMT2BATMAN
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: texas
Posts: 84
Quote:
Originally Posted by SlideRacker View Post
Agreed but it’s a fun way to diversify among asset classes. Many people have precious metals as a small part of their portfolio. This is no different.
Agreed.

I think its interesting comparing the growth relative to the economy or a stock Index. I wouldn’t go out and tell be to invest in watches and jewelry rather than an index fund, stock, bonds etc.

I also wouldn’t buy a luxury item that has shitty resale potential even if I had zero interest in ever selling it. I would feel cheated if I forked over money for something that is worthless.
GMT2BATMAN is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 21 June 2019, 12:39 AM   #14
epicurus
"TRF" Member
 
epicurus's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2019
Location: NYC
Posts: 572
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carry The Interest View Post
I've been biting my tongue on a lot of these threads. I don't intend on sounding rude, but this is just getting ridiculous now.

FWIW, my money is on the S&P.


If this forum can ban politics, guns, replicas and whatever else.......please consider banning investment posts like these
epicurus is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 21 June 2019, 12:46 AM   #15
beshannon
"TRF" Member
 
beshannon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Real Name: Brian
Location: Northern Virginia
Watch: One of Not Many
Posts: 17,892
Quote:
Originally Posted by epicurus View Post


If this forum can ban politics, guns, replicas and whatever else.......please consider banning investment posts like these
__________________
IWC Portugieser 7 Day, Omega Seamaster SMP300m, Vacheron Constantin Traditionnelle Complete Calendar, Glashutte PanoInverse, Glashutte SeaQ Panorama Date, Omega Aqua Terra 150, Omega CK 859, Omega Speedmaster 3861 Moonwatch, Breitling Superocean Steelfish, JLC Atmos Transparent Clock
beshannon is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 21 June 2019, 01:06 AM   #16
GMT2BATMAN
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: texas
Posts: 84
Quote:
Originally Posted by epicurus View Post


If this forum can ban politics, guns, replicas and whatever else.......please consider banning investment posts like these
Why would you take the time to comment on a post you think is a waste? Unless, you don’t value your time....
GMT2BATMAN is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 12:37 PM   #17
pepsiretail
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2019
Location: Canada
Posts: 2,052
Are we talking MK I bezel Pepsi? If yes, then Yes!
pepsiretail is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 10:25 PM   #18
georgekart
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Location: Earth
Posts: 1,708
Quote:
Originally Posted by pepsiretail View Post
Are we talking MK I bezel Pepsi? If yes, then Yes!
I don't think MK I will be commanding crazy premiums 10 years down the line. My two cents is it will start being coveted 15 years down the line and then 5 more years down the line be extremely coveted. I could be wrong, but that's what I think.
georgekart is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 12:40 PM   #19
GMT2BATMAN
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: texas
Posts: 84
You can love the watch, not ever be willing to sell it and ponder about its future value.
BLRO will sell for its current grey market price (18k) and the Daytona will sell for 30k. Neither will outperform the S&P 500.
GMT2BATMAN is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 12:41 PM   #20
coralfarmer84
"TRF" Member
 
coralfarmer84's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: United States
Watch: Rolex, PP
Posts: 1,198
In my opinion when a “crash” comes it will be across the board in all financial aspects.
__________________
Work hard in silence. Let your success make the noise
coralfarmer84 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 12:43 PM   #21
MinMay
Banned
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: United States
Posts: 2,410
i predict 50K...easily. They'll discontinued it...like they always do...guaranteed it :) . They'll probably put the ugly jubilee and then people will want the oyster :)

By 10 years, I hope everyone is going to be worth 100 mil....so 50K is chump chain :) . And I'm being conservative :)
MinMay is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 12:45 PM   #22
Lord Hectic
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: Hoth
Watch: Pepsi
Posts: 194
Pathetic.
Lord Hectic is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 12:51 PM   #23
watchmework
"TRF" Member
 
watchmework's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2017
Location: DC
Watch: 126710BLRO, 116600
Posts: 7,869
https://www.yelp.com/search?find_des...loc=texas&ns=1

Here is a Yelp listing for fortune tellers in Texas...they have about as good a chance of predicting this as we do, enjoy
watchmework is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 01:01 PM   #24
Etschell
"TRF" Member
 
Etschell's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: FL
Watch: platinum sub
Posts: 15,884
Speculative
__________________
If you wind it, they will run.

25 or 6 to 4.
Etschell is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 01:04 PM   #25
kieselguhr
"TRF" Member
 
kieselguhr's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2013
Real Name: Nick
Location: Las Vegas
Watch: 1601
Posts: 10,644
Quote:
Originally Posted by GMT2BATMAN View Post

Will it outperform the S&P500?


Short term, maybe.
Long term, nope.
Just my honest opinion. I am no financial expert.


AOW
kieselguhr is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 01:07 PM   #26
csaltphoto
"TRF" Member
 
csaltphoto's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: US
Watch: sub
Posts: 2,456
Wonder what a Paul Newman Daytona sold for 10 years ago.

Or one of those old subs with rusty hands and flaking tritium (I'm sorry, I mean Patina) that go for 80K now.
csaltphoto is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 01:16 PM   #27
TimeToWatch
Banned
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: TRF
Watch: Rolex & AP
Posts: 1,757
Quote:
Originally Posted by csaltphoto View Post
Wonder what a Paul Newman Daytona sold for 10 years ago.

Or one of those old subs with rusty hands and flaking tritium (I'm sorry, I mean Patina) that go for 80K now.
**Past performance is not indicative of future results**
TimeToWatch is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 06:48 PM   #28
sinkholeninja
"TRF" Member
 
sinkholeninja's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2019
Real Name: Zeus
Location: London
Watch: Ocean 2000
Posts: 1,035
Quote:
Originally Posted by TimeToWatch View Post
**Past performance is not indicative of future results**
Precisely. Investing 101.
__________________
Lange (ref. Saxonia Thin RG); Vacheron C. (ref. 3110v); Ressence (ref. Type 8); Rolex Explorer (ref. 124270); Rolex Sub (ref. 126610LV); Porsche Design IWC (ref. Ocean 2000); Seiko (ref. SLA039)
sinkholeninja is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 02:24 PM   #29
SS Oyster
"TRF" Member
 
SS Oyster's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: USA
Posts: 9,371
Prediction on the BLRO and SS Daytona

BLRO will retail for $20k with today’s watch commanding $26k second hand.

Daytona will be 126500 by then and retail for $22k with second hand ones from today going for $35k.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
SS Oyster is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 20 June 2019, 02:30 PM   #30
rominvicta
2024 Pledge Member
 
Join Date: May 2017
Location: EU
Watch: DSSD, BLNR, SM, GM
Posts: 933
Just out of curiosity. How much did they sell for 10 years ago?
rominvicta is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

Wrist Aficionado

WatchShell

My Watch LLC

WatchesOff5th

DavidSW Watches

Takuya Watches

OCWatches


*Banners Of The Month*
This space is provided to horological resources.





Copyright ©2004-2025, The Rolex Forums. All Rights Reserved.

ROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEX

Rolex is a registered trademark of ROLEX USA. The Rolex Forums is not affiliated with ROLEX USA in any way.