Obtaining 15500ST as first AP

[acaixguard]

Just wondering how realistic it is to get a 15500ST (non-blue) as a first AP these days.

Just a summary of my efforts/timeline so far. I have been in talks with the NYC boutique on getting the 15500ST since Feb 2020. Established a good rapport with an associate there when I visited the boutique. At the time, he put my interest in for the grey dial. He told me there's a chance I could be allocated one by August. If nothing by August, then it would likely have to wait until 2021. Then we all know the pandemic took full effect, and I kind of forgot about it. AP also closed for a few months so don't think I missed out on much then. Fast forward to October 2020, I called to follow up, and expressed interest in the white/silver dial instead of the grey, for which he took note in the system. In December, I stopped by the boutique when I was in the area just to see how things were going, and to ask a little more about the white dial. No change in status then.

Last week, I called him to follow up and reaffirm my strong interest in the 15500ST silver dial. Mentioned I would be in the city the upcoming weekend, and he said to stop by to chat more. When I stopped by, he filled out my online profile in greater detail, which just includes things like my interest, why I like, AP, etc. His current estimate is about 6 months, but hopefully less. Mentioned that when I'm allocated a watch, the full amount would be due, and easiest is to do a wire transaction. All interactions thus far have been very positive sounding.

For those who have a lot of experience dealing with AP, does it sound like I can count on the 15500ST silver dial sometime in 2021?

Thanks in advance!