An observation about "incomings"

[Watchdoyouwant?]

Originally Posted by Zuger

Count me in with those who did not pose an incoming. Received a new sub date and a nice gift from AD just four days ago.

Out of curiosity, would you have posted if instead of the sub it was a different watch you received?

[Zuger]

Originally Posted by Watchdoyouwant?

Out of curiosity, would you have posted if instead of the sub it was a different watch you received?

I would have shared the Sub incoming with the community if I didn't have to leave for vacation the following day. Maybe I will do an incoming with the story behind how I got the Sub from AD when I return.

[watchtabs]

Yea I agree, lots of similar incomings lately. I’m glad tho!


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[BLNR Nairobi]

If one used TRF as a barometer for watch incomings it would appear that the most numerous offerings from Rolex are Daytonas, GMTs (especially meteorite dials) and even blue SkyDwellers. It would also appear, using TRF again as a guide, that the rarest references are the Submariner/Submariner Date, YM/YM II, the Cellini and rarest of all, the OP.

I believe there are many Submariners/Submariner Dates received, but they don’t get the same rush to post as a fresh-from-AD BLRO on Oyster will receive. Or take the GMT meteorite dial - every single incoming of the 126719BLRO by a TRF member will be posted since it is seen as ‘rare.’ Every single incoming of the Submariner or YatchMaster will however not be posted. It can make it appear as if some references are more or less common than they are in reality.

My $0.02

[Becweb]

Originally Posted by BLNR Nairobi

If one used TRF as a barometer for watch incomings it would appear that the most numerous offerings from Rolex are Daytonas, GMTs (especially meteorite dials) and even blue SkyDwellers. It would also appear, using TRF again as a guide, that the rarest references are the Submariner/Submariner Date, YM/YM II, the Cellini and rarest of all, the OP.

I believe there are many Submariners/Submariner Dates received, but they don’t get the same rush to post as a fresh-from-AD BLRO on Oyster will receive. Or take the GMT meteorite dial - every single incoming of the 126719BLRO by a TRF member will be posted since it is seen as ‘rare.’ Every single incoming of the Submariner or YatchMaster will however not be posted. It can make it appear as if some references are more or less common than they are in reality.

My $0.02

This, my friend, is called flexing or seeking envy / recognition

[fskywalker]

Originally Posted by BLNR Nairobi

If one used TRF as a barometer for watch incomings it would appear that the most numerous offerings from Rolex are Daytonas, GMTs (especially meteorite dials) and even blue SkyDwellers. It would also appear, using TRF again as a guide, that the rarest references are the Submariner/Submariner Date, YM/YM II, the Cellini and rarest of all, the OP.

I believe there are many Submariners/Submariner Dates received, but they don’t get the same rush to post as a fresh-from-AD BLRO on Oyster will receive. Or take the GMT meteorite dial - every single incoming of the 126719BLRO by a TRF member will be posted since it is seen as ‘rare.’ Every single incoming of the Submariner or YatchMaster will however not be posted. It can make it appear as if some references are more or less common than they are in reality.

My $0.02

This!


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[ROBERT1183]

I was just saying the same thing the other day. Ive been seeing which seems like more GMT incomings lately.

[JSolution]

Originally Posted by ROBERT1183

I was just saying the same thing the other day. Ive been seeing which seems like more GMT incomings lately.

Getting them out ready to discontinue to make way for Daytona’s maybe.

[Mifune]

Originally Posted by Watchdoyouwant?

I've noticed that there are a lot more "incoming" threads for new BLRO/BLNR GMTs, skydwellers, daydates, etc.

I think those pieces are a bit more... brag worthy.

I see even less Oyster Perpetual 'incoming' than I do Submariner.

[daOnlyBG]

A few points:

1. If the Rolex sales associates are to be believed, yes, the company does release watches in batches.

2. Don't fall victim to "survivorship bias." Yes, you may witness more "incoming" posts- but out of how many people on wait lists?

3. Plenty of people with extensive collections get Submariners- but they're less likely to post them than to post that new 116500LN Daytona they've been waiting for.

4. More and more people are discovering r/watches, TRF, WUS, and so forth. The hobby still continues to grow. Today's quantity of GMT "incoming" posts may indeed exceed the most recent "incoming" wave of Submariners, but assuming the market trend continues, the next wave of "incoming Sub" posts will likely outshadow whatever you're seeing today.

No reason to read into anything.