Talking Stocks 2.0

[cornerstore]

Originally Posted by logo

I will agree with you strongly on this point. TSLA is a prime example of it being misconstrued.

However, I do believe AMZN is worth its weight. When you run AWS cloud services, and own the major market share for cloud, you are a tech company.

Originally Posted by beshannon

AWS

We will have to agree to disagree, AMZN is undervalued here

Now if they spin off AWS and or Prime as a stand alone tech ventures then tech valuations are warranted. But to extrapolate these current values on a profitable high margin component tied to a low margin retail business model component is not warranted. As you said we can agree to disagree.

[Kowaco]

You have to remember a stock is only worth what someone will pay for it


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[beshannon]

Coronavirus, Covid-19 Aid, Microsoft, Micron - 5 Things You Must Know Tuesday

https://www.thestreet.com/markets/5-...tuesday-092920

Futures are flat, we need to see some follow through today to confirm a change in trend otherwise this rally will also likely fail which is what I believe.

[JParm]

https://seekingalpha.com/news/361792...uring-pandemic

Another upgrade for SQ here. Plenty of upside left, especially as we get back to opening further (in America, that is...).

PINS continues on it's upward trajectory as well. A lot of chatter about the social media sites rising because of increased online advertising - I'm heavy PINS, FB and GOOGL for that matter, but only looking to add to PINS on any weakness between those 3.

[beshannon]

Originally Posted by jpeezy14@hotmail.com

https://seekingalpha.com/news/361792...uring-pandemic

Another upgrade for SQ here. Plenty of upside left, especially as we get back to opening further (in America, that is...).

I am long SQ as well as PYPL. FinTech is here to stay for sure. I would like to be back in V but it is over priced here

[JParm]

https://twitter.com/saxena_puru/stat...74433275273218

Good points made here by Puru Saxena, someone that I follow on Twitter.

There's a reason why things like AMZN trade at much higher mulitples than WMT...GROWTH being one of them.

[beshannon]

NFL's Titans and Vikings suspend activities after positive tests

https://seekingalpha.com/news/361805...positive-tests

Markets promptly rolled over Dow -125

[-dustin]

Originally Posted by beshannon

NFL's Titans and Vikings suspend activities after positive tests

https://seekingalpha.com/news/361805...positive-tests

Markets promptly rolled over Dow -125

This has me concerned.

About my fantasy league.

and my DKNG position.

[huncho]

Originally Posted by -dustin

This has me concerned.

About my fantasy league.

and my DKNG position.

with the games being once a week i dont see it being too much of an issue. mlb has been doing well and they play every day but obviously nfl teams are much larger so we'll see

[HippoPAPAmus]

Originally Posted by huncho

with the games being once a week i dont see it being too much of an issue. mlb has been doing well and they play every day but obviously nfl teams are much larger so we'll see

I think it comes down to how well it’s contained. If they managed to stamp it out like the MLB (albeit a little sloppy at first), it should be no big deal. If we see further outbreaks and wide spread game cancellations, it may be a bigger problem. MLB, NBA, and NHL playoffs certainly help lessen the blow.


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[jaisonline]

As it def should. PENN and DKNG were hit hard during the 2-3 rounds of MLB team stoppages. It did make a nice buying opportunity though. However, the NFL is the major sport for fantasy and betting so the stocks will be hard harder than MLB.

Originally Posted by -dustin

This has me concerned.

About my fantasy league.

and my DKNG position.

[AshCashEmAll]

Originally Posted by -dustin

This has me concerned.

About my fantasy league.

and my DKNG position.

Haha I was thinking the same thing... about my fantasy leagues that is


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[KaVo8]

Originally Posted by beshannon

I am long SQ as well as PYPL. FinTech is here to stay for sure. I would like to be back in V but it is over priced here

With FinTech future likely entrenched in our daily activities. Is it better to invest in individual stocks such as SQ, PYPL etc or an ETF? What is your opinion on an ETF such as ARKF if you are familiar with it?


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[mbalmz]

Originally Posted by KaVo8

With FinTech future likely entrenched in our daily activities. Is it better to invest in individual stocks such as SQ, PYPL etc or an ETF? What is your opinion on an ETF such as ARKF if you are familiar with it?


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i'm a fan of the ARK etfs but they are expensive fwiw (referring to the expense ratios, not the share prices).

[7sins]

Originally Posted by mbalmz

i'm a fan of the ARK etfs but they are expensive fwiw (referring to the expense ratios, not the share prices).

That is certainly subjective and relative. For an active ETF generating true alpha, 75BP is very inexpensive. Yes, lower cost passive ETFs exist, however they only look to replicate an index, that is not what ARK does. YTD, ARKF is positive 31%, more than happy to pay 75bp for that performance. Compared to L/S funds that charge twice as much with half the amount of performance, if not less.

Cathy Woods used to be the PM at the Asset Manager I work for and is an incredible PM if you can handle the ride. No hesitation.

Originally Posted by KaVo8

With FinTech future likely entrenched in our daily activities. Is it better to invest in individual stocks such as SQ, PYPL etc or an ETF? What is your opinion on an ETF such as ARKF if you are familiar with it?


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Learn to trade leap options, significantly more upside without have to worry about a short expiration. IE I purchased Fedex leap options several months ago, the stock has almost doubled since then (yes, an anomaly of an event) but my Jan 2022 leaps returned 768%. I've been in this industry for over 15 years, so tread carefully at first, but understanding derivative trading can be very profitable and or have a more calculated strategy like writing puts to generate income which enables you to own a stock at a certain price.

Happy to write a writeup for anyone who is interested and share more on option trading.

[tadbart]

Any thoughts on SPCE?

[scarlet knight]

Originally Posted by -dustin

This has me concerned.

About my fantasy league.

and my DKNG position.

If NFL goes down, that’s a problem. I sold first, will ask questions later. Can always get back in later.

[scarlet knight]

Originally Posted by tadbart

Any thoughts on SPCE?

A good speculative play. HR or SO, I guess. Not for widows and orphans.

[-dustin]

Futures didn’t approve of that thing that happened tonight. Tomorrow should be...entertaining.

[beshannon]

Originally Posted by KaVo8

With FinTech future likely entrenched in our daily activities. Is it better to invest in individual stocks such as SQ, PYPL etc or an ETF? What is your opinion on an ETF such as ARKF if you are familiar with it?


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I prefer to do my own research and seek out good investments. ETF's give you the good with the bad and you need to look at the portfolio makeup as there could be outsized positions within.

Originally Posted by mbalmz

i'm a fan of the ARK etfs but they are expensive fwiw (referring to the expense ratios, not the share prices).

Exactly

Originally Posted by -dustin

Futures didn’t approve of that thing that happened tonight. Tomorrow should be...entertaining.

That was a known outcome, I am more concerned about the next 4 months.

I remain long term bullish but I am not adding anything here as I believe the volatility that could arise from world events could be serious.

Trump vs. Biden, Disney, Palantir, Boeing - 5 Things You Must Know Wednesday

https://www.thestreet.com/markets/5-...dnesday-093020

[KaVo8]

Does anyone here know what caused AXTI volatility on Tuesday? I tried to search but could not come up with any news. Tia


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[JParm]

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wh...S%3D1601467534

Billionaire says there are 3 different markets, and I tend to agree (FAANG, Robinhood stocks, and the rest of the market).

I continue to be very heavy in that first market / digital transformation stocks.

The first market is what he would call the FAANG market — companies like Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, and Google, the technology heavyweights that benefit from the COVID-19 disruptions. “Those stocks, to a degree, are better than gold. They are selling at very rich valuations, but if you look at interest rates, they’re not expensive

[beshannon]

Originally Posted by KaVo8

Does anyone here know what caused AXTI volatility on Tuesday? I tried to search but could not come up with any news. Tia


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The stock is a very thinly traded stock with little float and 5.6% short interest. It would not take much to move the stock and it could easily reverse in the same way.

It may have gotten a pop from the Semi space and people looking for a low priced stock to throw money at.

[derekhayden]

Originally Posted by 7sins

Happy to write a writeup for anyone who is interested and share more on option trading.

I would be interested in learning more strategies for option trading. I have been actively trading for a couple years but most my option plays I would call more luck than strategy.

[beshannon]

ADP numbers up more than expected, futures have turned positive

https://seekingalpha.com/news/361835...estimates-100k

Definitely not chasing this as those numbers could easily go back down next month. BEst case is that we churn in a trading range here

[JParm]

Originally Posted by 7sins

Happy to write a writeup for anyone who is interested and share more on option trading.

Originally Posted by derekhayden

I would be interested in learning more strategies for option trading. I have been actively trading for a couple years but most my option plays I would call more luck than strategy.

I'll second that.

At the very least, it's more knowledge to put into the toolbox.

[mbalmz]

Originally Posted by 7sins

That is certainly subjective and relative. For an active ETF generating true alpha, 75BP is very inexpensive. Yes, lower cost passive ETFs exist, however they only look to replicate an index, that is not what ARK does. YTD, ARKF is positive 31%, more than happy to pay 75bp for that performance. Compared to L/S funds that charge twice as much with half the amount of performance, if not less.

Cathy Woods used to be the PM at the Asset Manager I work for and is an incredible PM if you can handle the ride. No hesitation.

I don't necessarily disagree and I happily hold ARK etfs myself; I just think the expense ratio is relevant to the question re: ARKF vs. particular fintech stocks--YTD the individual stocks mentioned in the question are up quite a bit as well so I don't really think the etf performance figure is indicative on either the original question or the relevance of the expense ratio.

I have loads of respect for Cathy Woods and attentively follow her twitter feed.

[JParm]

Originally Posted by mbalmz

I don't necessarily disagree and I happily hold ARK etfs myself; I just think the expense ratio is relevant to the question re: ARKF vs. particular fintech stocks--YTD the individual stocks mentioned in the question are up quite a bit as well so I don't really think the etf performance figure is indicative on either the original question or the relevance of the expense ratio.

I have loads of respect for Cathy Woods and attentively follow her twitter feed.

I'm also a stock-picker vs. ETF investor for part of our portfolio (we have mutual funds for the safer side).

I also respect ARK and I think you can use their holdings as a gauge to see which of the companies you'd rather own.

I'm more of a "pick your winners and stick to them" type of investor; I'm only in 9 stocks at the moment and my Fintech holding is SQ. I truly believe in the company strategy and where they're headed, and the diversification comes in through stocks in other industries, not in other companies within the same space.

[Kliminator]

What do folks here think of servicenow (NOW)?

[JParm]

Originally Posted by Kliminator

What do folks here think of servicenow (NOW)?

We're incorporating NOW into our workspace...not sure how I feel about it just yet. As for the stock, it has run up pretty quick, which isn't that different from other software plays - I would just rather place my money elsewhere.

https://seekingalpha.com/news/361844...ship-tyto-care

More bullishness for AMWL. Good base formed near the $28 level, IMO.