The Rolex Forums   The Rolex Watch

ROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEX


Go Back   Rolex Forums - Rolex Forum > General Topics > Open Discussion Forum

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 3 November 2020, 10:06 PM   #5251
beshannon
"TRF" Member
 
beshannon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Real Name: Brian
Location: Northern Virginia
Watch: One of Not Many
Posts: 17,892
Quote:
Originally Posted by avidflyer View Post
Futures up over 400....see what holds into the close
Too early in the week, front running the options would be my guess, someone is going to lose some money.

I bought last week on the dip and am holding, if we get a larger move uip I would be inclined to take some profits.
__________________
IWC Portugieser 7 Day, Omega Seamaster SMP300m, Vacheron Constantin Traditionnelle Complete Calendar, Glashutte PanoInverse, Glashutte SeaQ Panorama Date, Omega Aqua Terra 150, Omega CK 859, Omega Speedmaster 3861 Moonwatch, Breitling Superocean Steelfish, JLC Atmos Transparent Clock
beshannon is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 3 November 2020, 10:17 PM   #5252
beshannon
"TRF" Member
 
beshannon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Real Name: Brian
Location: Northern Virginia
Watch: One of Not Many
Posts: 17,892
Election Day, Dow Futures, PayPal, Carnival - 5 Things You Must Know Tuesday

https://www.thestreet.com/markets/5-...tuesday-110320

PYPL might be an opportunity for some as this selloff is due to guidance. I am long PYPL and may average down

Not sure who these analysts are, take what you will from the chart

__________________
IWC Portugieser 7 Day, Omega Seamaster SMP300m, Vacheron Constantin Traditionnelle Complete Calendar, Glashutte PanoInverse, Glashutte SeaQ Panorama Date, Omega Aqua Terra 150, Omega CK 859, Omega Speedmaster 3861 Moonwatch, Breitling Superocean Steelfish, JLC Atmos Transparent Clock
beshannon is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 3 November 2020, 11:10 PM   #5253
JParm
"TRF" Member
 
JParm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: NorCal
Watch: Yes!
Posts: 6,571
Sitting, watching on election day. No selling / buying from me today.
__________________
JParm is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 12:21 AM   #5254
glenn_herwig
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2016
Real Name: Glenn
Location: NJ
Posts: 309
Going long into Election Day... APHA, TMF (20 + year treasuries 3x leveraged) SPXU (as a hedge), YCL (Japanese Yen 2x leveraged).

I still remain long SPY.
__________________
Omega Speedmaster Professional 311.30.42.30.01.005

Jaeger Le Coultre Grande Date 240.8.15

Instagram: @select.timepieces
glenn_herwig is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 02:22 AM   #5255
JParm
"TRF" Member
 
JParm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: NorCal
Watch: Yes!
Posts: 6,571
Light volume today but still loving the upward movement going into today's election.
__________________
JParm is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 02:27 AM   #5256
huncho
2025 Pledge Member
 
huncho's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2017
Location: nyc
Posts: 6,785
wonder what happened to all the panic last week
huncho is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 02:29 AM   #5257
logo
"TRF" Member
 
logo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: North America
Posts: 2,368
Quote:
Originally Posted by jpeezy14@hotmail.com View Post
Light volume today but still loving the upward movement going into today's election.
I don’t trust it lol. But who knows in today’s world.
logo is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 02:36 AM   #5258
JParm
"TRF" Member
 
JParm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: NorCal
Watch: Yes!
Posts: 6,571
Quote:
Originally Posted by logo View Post
I don’t trust it lol. But who knows in today’s world.
Haha - not sure that I do either, but one can dream!
__________________
JParm is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 02:45 AM   #5259
supernova
"TRF" Member
 
supernova's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Europe/Asia
Watch: AP/Rolex
Posts: 1,371
Looks like stock market is pricing in a big stimulus package incoming after the election
supernova is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 03:16 AM   #5260
beshannon
"TRF" Member
 
beshannon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Real Name: Brian
Location: Northern Virginia
Watch: One of Not Many
Posts: 17,892
Quote:
Originally Posted by huncho View Post
wonder what happened to all the panic last week
What panic? That was a very orderly selloff

Quote:
Originally Posted by supernova View Post
Looks like stock market is pricing in a big stimulus package incoming after the election
I disagree. I believe the market is pricing in the removal of uncertainty in the near futire
__________________
IWC Portugieser 7 Day, Omega Seamaster SMP300m, Vacheron Constantin Traditionnelle Complete Calendar, Glashutte PanoInverse, Glashutte SeaQ Panorama Date, Omega Aqua Terra 150, Omega CK 859, Omega Speedmaster 3861 Moonwatch, Breitling Superocean Steelfish, JLC Atmos Transparent Clock
beshannon is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 03:19 AM   #5261
huncho
2025 Pledge Member
 
huncho's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2017
Location: nyc
Posts: 6,785
Quote:
Originally Posted by beshannon View Post
What panic? That was a very orderly selloff



I disagree. I believe the market is pricing in the removal of uncertainty in the near futire
huge swing back and forth for seemingly little reason as election results aren't in and covid is still covid
huncho is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 03:39 AM   #5262
HippoPAPAmus
"TRF" Member
 
HippoPAPAmus's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2019
Location: USA
Posts: 720
Wow -

China halts Ant Group's giant IPO after dust up with billionaire Jack Ma.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn...-ma/index.html


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
HippoPAPAmus is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 03:46 AM   #5263
supernova
"TRF" Member
 
supernova's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Europe/Asia
Watch: AP/Rolex
Posts: 1,371
Quote:
Originally Posted by beshannon View Post
I disagree. I believe the market is pricing in the removal of uncertainty in the near futire

Well that of course too but that uncertainty removed means certainty for massive impending stimulus which is what lifts stocks


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
supernova is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 03:56 AM   #5264
Xelorpepsi
"TRF" Member
 
Xelorpepsi's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: UK
Posts: 310
Quote:
Originally Posted by HippoPAPAmus View Post
Wow -

China halts Ant Group's giant IPO after dust up with billionaire Jack Ma.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn...-ma/index.html


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Did not follow that one very closely, but my understanding is that it is related to the use of joint loans and circumvention of the regulatory framework. If that's the case, the regulator simply played their role.
Xelorpepsi is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 07:27 AM   #5265
Etschell
"TRF" Member
 
Etschell's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: FL
Watch: platinum sub
Posts: 15,884
one thing ive learned about the market they can always create a way to squeeze more value.

a pretty good example is p/e. because there are more tech companies in the blend of major indices the historical benchmarks of over valued don't apply.
__________________
If you wind it, they will run.

25 or 6 to 4.
Etschell is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 10:31 PM   #5266
beshannon
"TRF" Member
 
beshannon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Real Name: Brian
Location: Northern Virginia
Watch: One of Not Many
Posts: 17,892
Given the massive uncertainty I am not trusting the Futures up +44 on the S&P

I am looking to take profits this morning
__________________
IWC Portugieser 7 Day, Omega Seamaster SMP300m, Vacheron Constantin Traditionnelle Complete Calendar, Glashutte PanoInverse, Glashutte SeaQ Panorama Date, Omega Aqua Terra 150, Omega CK 859, Omega Speedmaster 3861 Moonwatch, Breitling Superocean Steelfish, JLC Atmos Transparent Clock
beshannon is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 11:10 PM   #5267
JParm
"TRF" Member
 
JParm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: NorCal
Watch: Yes!
Posts: 6,571
Quote:
Originally Posted by beshannon View Post
Given the massive uncertainty I am not trusting the Futures up +44 on the S&P

I am looking to take profits this morning
Not a bad idea...things are insane everywhere you look.

Did we expect anything less? 2020...
__________________
JParm is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 4 November 2020, 11:11 PM   #5268
JWD531
"TRF" Member
 
JWD531's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2019
Location: Tulsa, OK
Watch: 126710 BLNR
Posts: 621
Quote:
Originally Posted by jpeezy14@hotmail.com View Post
Not a bad idea...things are insane everywhere you look.

Did we expect anything less? 2020...

No we did not...


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
JWD531 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 5 November 2020, 12:10 AM   #5269
beshannon
"TRF" Member
 
beshannon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Real Name: Brian
Location: Northern Virginia
Watch: One of Not Many
Posts: 17,892
Futures still gaining strength, really this is very unsettling

I may have to just turn off all media and web today
__________________
IWC Portugieser 7 Day, Omega Seamaster SMP300m, Vacheron Constantin Traditionnelle Complete Calendar, Glashutte PanoInverse, Glashutte SeaQ Panorama Date, Omega Aqua Terra 150, Omega CK 859, Omega Speedmaster 3861 Moonwatch, Breitling Superocean Steelfish, JLC Atmos Transparent Clock
beshannon is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 5 November 2020, 12:38 AM   #5270
Romeojk
2025 Pledge Member
 
Romeojk's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Real Name: Kevin
Location: Cape Cod
Watch: Submariner 114060
Posts: 1,984
Quote:
Originally Posted by beshannon View Post
Futures still gaining strength, really this is very unsettling

I may have to just turn off all media and web today

Yes, I think that’s a good idea.

Let me share some wisdom I gathered kicking around here and there. If you’re focused on the long term and you think the stock will be up in 12-18 months, then stay the course and don’t worry about the day to day. And you can thank not me but a couple of smart guys I’ve been quietly listening and learning from and want to thank immensely named Brian and jpeezy.

Have a good day and thanks again .
Romeojk is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 5 November 2020, 12:53 AM   #5271
m j b
"TRF" Member
 
m j b's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Real Name: Michael
Location: RTP, NC, USA
Watch: ♕& Ω
Posts: 5,241
Quote:
Originally Posted by beshannon View Post
I may have to just turn off all media and web today
This is my preliminary plan for the next four years, regardless of the outcome.
__________________
Enjoy life - it has an expiration date.


Disclaimer: Please note that the avatar is not an accurate representation of how I look. The camera adds 10 pounds...
m j b is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 5 November 2020, 12:58 AM   #5272
JParm
"TRF" Member
 
JParm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: NorCal
Watch: Yes!
Posts: 6,571
Quote:
Originally Posted by Romeojk View Post
Yes, I think that’s a good idea.

Let me share some wisdom I gathered kicking around here and there. If you’re focused on the long term and you think the stock will be up in 12-18 months, then stay the course and don’t worry about the day to day. And you can thank not me but a couple of smart guys I’ve been quietly listening and learning from and want to thank immensely named Brian and jpeezy.

Have a good day and thanks again .


https://www.barrons.com/articles/hil...?mod=hp_LATEST

For those looking at cyclicals and the return-to-normal trade - I think Hilton's earnings gives a good snapshot of where things stand and where we're going.

I'm still not touching airlines / cruise lines, as I think those will take years to return, but I do have some LEAPS in MAR and WYNN as a way to gently ease back into some of the industries that I think are returning quicker than anticipated.

While there isn't an influx of people traveling by air, we are seeing many more venture out to eat and travel domestically by car. Tech still holds the lion's share of my positioning, but the long-term calls are in things like this.
__________________
JParm is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 5 November 2020, 01:14 AM   #5273
JParm
"TRF" Member
 
JParm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: NorCal
Watch: Yes!
Posts: 6,571
Blown away by the market move right now - especially without a clear winner that probably won't get solved for a couple days.

AMWL +11%
DOCU +9.5%
CRM +6%
FB +8%
etc. etc.

How does this make any sense...
__________________
JParm is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 5 November 2020, 01:32 AM   #5274
logo
"TRF" Member
 
logo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: North America
Posts: 2,368
Having a hard time interpreting the market as well. Now deciding whether to sell down some positions for profits, or if the market is in continued buy mode for a particular outcome that Wall Street is projecting. Certainly not expected.
logo is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 5 November 2020, 01:43 AM   #5275
trippinjimmy
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: May 2019
Location: The Good Life
Posts: 3,090
I would venture to guess that today’s action is due to a non blue wave. Looking like republicans will control the senate, making any agendas difficult to pass. The market historically fares better when one party doesn’t hold all the power.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
trippinjimmy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 5 November 2020, 03:43 AM   #5276
JParm
"TRF" Member
 
JParm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: NorCal
Watch: Yes!
Posts: 6,571
Quote:
Originally Posted by trippinjimmy View Post
I would venture to guess that today’s action is due to a non blue wave. Looking like republicans will control the senate, making any agendas difficult to pass. The market historically fares better when one party doesn’t hold all the power.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
On the nose.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/whe...?mod=hp_LATEST


Quote:
Expectations on Wall Street appear to be coalescing around a Biden presidency, a Republican Senate, and a Democratic House of Representatives, the sort of gridlock-inducing result that is generally good for stocks.
__________________
JParm is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 5 November 2020, 03:57 AM   #5277
scarlet knight
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: USA
Watch: Good ones
Posts: 8,518
Regional banks getting killed today. Wonder why?
scarlet knight is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 5 November 2020, 04:22 AM   #5278
AshCashEmAll
2024 Pledge Member
 
AshCashEmAll's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2019
Location: California
Watch: 114060
Posts: 442
Averaged down today to have cash ready. Volatility is ahead.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
AshCashEmAll is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 5 November 2020, 04:29 AM   #5279
JParm
"TRF" Member
 
JParm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: NorCal
Watch: Yes!
Posts: 6,571
https://www.barrons.com/articles/the...?mod=hp_LATEST

What Wall Street is saying about today's gains.
__________________
JParm is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 5 November 2020, 10:38 PM   #5280
JParm
"TRF" Member
 
JParm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: NorCal
Watch: Yes!
Posts: 6,571
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/al...ps-11604578220

BABA beats but still dips - With the way the elections are going, now might be the time to get back into this stock for me.

Drown out all the election / China rhetoric, and what you have is still an "AMZN of China". I'm long SE and MELI, so adding another emerging market and diversifying away from the US looks attractive here.
__________________
JParm is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 5 (0 members and 5 guests)
 

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

Takuya Watches

OCWatches

Wrist Aficionado

WatchShell

My Watch LLC

WatchesOff5th

DavidSW Watches


*Banners Of The Month*
This space is provided to horological resources.





Copyright ©2004-2025, The Rolex Forums. All Rights Reserved.

ROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEXROLEX

Rolex is a registered trademark of ROLEX USA. The Rolex Forums is not affiliated with ROLEX USA in any way.