Talking Stocks 2.0

[Dusko.Popov]

I mentioned Roku when it was down to $40 a share in March. I pushed it in multiple posts but one of the prominent voices in the thread didn’t like “the beta.” That’s cool. Risk tolerance is different for everyone. With that said, I hope that some did like the beta because the stock price is hovering around $335 a share now with no signs of retreating.

I’ve dropped a few names and I think they’re all winning: ttd at $165 ($900 now), Hibb at $9, nclh, dal, stor and cake. I believe I was the first to drop Roku, Stor, Hibb and ttd in this thread. All back in March. My research has thus far paid off handsomely.

This isn’t to be self-congratulatory. Just a little background to perhaps establish some bona fides ...

Because I think you should take a long look at Fubotv.

Fubo. I’m all in on the thesis. I don’t give a crap about the beta.

Use the platform. Invest in it.

Would understand if you doubt me. After all I’m just a half-assed country lawyer.

[Dusko.Popov]

For those who don’t want to read all that ...

Fubo.

Recommendation from a half-assed country lawyer.

Fubo

[jaisonline]

Originally Posted by logo

Anyone with thoughts on BB? I opened a small starter position last week. Earnings call today, the exclusive partnership with Amazon is interesting. Lots of automobile/EV clients, governments, SpaceX etc. in a growing technology sector, though current financials not necessarily reflecting that. After hours action is all over the place lol.

I posted a link to an article maybe 2-3 weeks ago. Seems to have potential. Definitely not the RIM BlackBerry company I really liked in the mid-2000s.

https://profitableinvesting.investor...ckberry-redux/

I’m kinda surprised Ark Invest hasn’t bought them yet for their ETFs.

[7sins]

Originally Posted by jaisonline

Spoke with the wife. She knows the company but said EoE isn’t a large enough problem (which is a good thing).

Thanks for asking, did she say to what extent - also is this US or global? My research shows that there is zero FDA approved options so this should still generate solid revenue. ARK bought another 250k shares today, I think this will be a home run but will take time to really move, especially with a large float.

Originally Posted by GB-man

FedEx beats by nearly 20 % on EPS and down 3 1/2 lol Guess a homerun was expected or was it the guidance?

Remember AH trading has very little liquidity and small bid/ask spreads, does not mean this will trade negative tomorrow.

Completely called they would hit EPS in the high 4s, which was a 20% beat. $20B quarter, their highest ever and almost $1B above estimates. Listened to ER call and they were incredibly positive noting "record setting holiday volume".

I hope this opens down 3% tomorrow morning so I can add more into this option, it would be an absolute gift before running back to $300 EOY.

[logo]

Originally Posted by jaisonline

I posted a link to an article maybe 2-3 weeks ago. Seems to have potential. Definitely not the RIM BlackBerry company I really liked in the mid-2000s.

https://profitableinvesting.investor...ckberry-redux/

I’m kinda surprised Ark Invest hasn’t bought them yet for their ETFs.

Thanks for sharing. I agree, after doing some DD here I find them very undervalued relative to their financials and to the rest of the industry, especially given their ties to “on trend” market areas like autonomous vehicles, EVs, cybersecurity, and even links to SpaceX.

I am a bit surprised by the after hours, after holding steady mid $8 range the past few weeks, but we’ll see what tomorrow brings. I’m down a bit as it stands, but this was sort of a small investment anyway with the anticipation of it increasing 2-3x in a year or so. We’ll see how things play out, I’m in no rush here. I do suspect there’s probably some profit taking element here given the run up recently.

[FLGatorM5]

Anyone here purely a technical trader?

Seems like most are fund. or fund. + technicals.

[logo]

Originally Posted by 7sins

Thanks for asking, did she say to what extent - also is this US or global? My research shows that there is zero FDA approved options so this should still generate solid revenue. ARK bought another 250k shares today, I think this will be a home run but will take time to really move, especially with a large float.



Remember AH trading has very little liquidity and small bid/ask spreads, does not mean this will trade negative tomorrow.

Completely called they would hit EPS in the high 4s, which was a 20% beat. $20B quarter, their highest ever and almost $1B above estimates. Listened to ER call and they were incredibly positive noting "record setting holiday volume".

I hope this opens down 3% tomorrow morning so I can add more into this option, it would be an absolute gift before running back to $300 EOY.

I’m not a gastroenterologist (but I am a physician) - my understanding of EoE is that it is an allergic hypersensitivity reaction (like nickel allergy on skin). As a consequence, many patients find relief from avoidance of triggers. Many also seem to do well with a proton pump inhibitor (which are very cheap drugs). More severe cases need steroids, which isn’t ideal long term. So I’d be cautious on how often the drug would be used - EoE is not super common (~1/2500), with most not being extremely severe.

Re: FDX. Hoping it dumps at open as I’m considering calls. Any calls you’d suggest looking for in terms of short vs long expiry ITM vs OTM?

[austinp]

Originally Posted by Dusko.Popov

I mentioned Roku when it was down to $40 a share in March. I pushed it in multiple posts but one of the prominent voices in the thread didn’t like “the beta.” That’s cool. Risk tolerance is different for everyone. With that said, I hope that some did like the beta because the stock price is hovering around $335 a share now with no signs of retreating.

I’ve dropped a few names and I think they’re all winning: ttd at $165 ($900 now), Hibb at $9, nclh, dal, stor and cake. I believe I was the first to drop Roku, Stor, Hibb and ttd in this thread. All back in March. My research has thus far paid off handsomely.

This isn’t to be self-congratulatory. Just a little background to perhaps establish some bona fides ...

Because I think you should take a long look at Fubotv.

Fubo. I’m all in on the thesis. I don’t give a crap about the beta.

Use the platform. Invest in it.

Would understand if you doubt me. After all I’m just a half-assed country lawyer.

I love all the great information from everyone on this thread. Thank you for the contributions! Keep em coming.


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[GB-man]

Originally Posted by 7sins

Thanks for asking, did she say to what extent - also is this US or global? My research shows that there is zero FDA approved options so this should still generate solid revenue. ARK bought another 250k shares today, I think this will be a home run but will take time to really move, especially with a large float.



Remember AH trading has very little liquidity and small bid/ask spreads, does not mean this will trade negative tomorrow.

Completely called they would hit EPS in the high 4s, which was a 20% beat. $20B quarter, their highest ever and almost $1B above estimates. Listened to ER call and they were incredibly positive noting "record setting holiday volume".

I hope this opens down 3% tomorrow morning so I can add more into this option, it would be an absolute gift before running back to $300 EOY.

Yeah honestly I don’t buy it. I think it turns green by mid day.


@dusko copy Fubotv

[huncho]

Originally Posted by logo

Thanks for sharing. I agree, after doing some DD here I find them very undervalued relative to their financials and to the rest of the industry, especially given their ties to “on trend” market areas like autonomous vehicles, EVs, cybersecurity, and even links to SpaceX.

I am a bit surprised by the after hours, after holding steady mid $8 range the past few weeks, but we’ll see what tomorrow brings. I’m down a bit as it stands, but this was sort of a small investment anyway with the anticipation of it increasing 2-3x in a year or so. We’ll see how things play out, I’m in no rush here. I do suspect there’s probably some profit taking element here given the run up recently.

i have jan 2022 10c, patiently waiting for it to move lol. seems like just a matter of time with how they're set up currently

[BradSomrak]

$PENN, FSTLY, ROKU, PINS. If you got in on any of those with me early this year what a 2020 it’s been. If you haven’t, it’s not too late.

[7sins]

Originally Posted by logo

I’m not a gastroenterologist (but I am a physician) - my understanding of EoE is that it is an allergic hypersensitivity reaction (like nickel allergy on skin). As a consequence, many patients find relief from avoidance of triggers. Many also seem to do well with a proton pump inhibitor (which are very cheap drugs). More severe cases need steroids, which isn’t ideal long term. So I’d be cautious on how often the drug would be used - EoE is not super common (~1/2500), with most not being extremely severe.

Re: FDX. Hoping it dumps at open as I’m considering calls. Any calls you’d suggest looking for in terms of short vs long expiry ITM vs OTM?

Thank you for sharing, that is good insight. I spent a ton of time researching the rest of their pipeline which is extensive for the next 10 years. My hope was this EoE approval would be the catalyst to push them above $20. Either way, have 13 months for this to play out and with Cathie Woods loading into this and I know her team in/out, I have full confidence.

I own FDX June $320C, wanted to give myself plenty of time after this earnings. They are increasing prices and margins for the next two quarters, usually their holiday season ends just after xmas but they are forecasting a run all the way through Jan 19th. Upcoming quarter includes black friday and cyber monday, so I will wait on these positions until then at least. Looking at the order book, I see a lot of orders around $280, so I can't imagine we dip below $280 tomorrow and I will look to add if we are down in the AM.

Going to see what tomorrow opening bell brings, I think a lot of people come to their senses and see what a blowout quarter it was along with the positivity on their earnings call pushing it green. If not, I will look at June calls and Jan 2022 leaps to see where IV comes the most down. If you want less risk, go further ITM, I typically shoot for 10-15% OTM depending on the security, expiration and my personal PO.

Originally Posted by GB-man

Yeah honestly I don’t buy it. I think it turns green by mid day.

Right on brother, not sure if the TSLA inclusion tomorrow will force index funds to trim most sp500 company positions for inclusion, which could cause more than normal sell volume in FDX.

[beshannon]

Originally Posted by GB-man

FedEx beats by nearly 20 % on EPS and down 3 1/2 lol Guess a homerun was expected or was it the guidance?

IMHO it was the lack of guidance, cost increase and slight price target lowering.

I am staying long FDX and will consider adding some at the open. I am also staying long UPS and feel that both of these stocks will do well whether it is a stay at home trade or a reopening trade. People still need things shipped.

Congrats to those in ROKU, great run, just not my kind of stock.

[JParm]

NKE reports at close today - no position and not playing options into earnings (got burned the quarter previous to last consequently missed out on last quarter's boom), as I'm not sure which way this one will head.

If it shows excessive signs of weakness post-earnings, I'll look to pickup a few LEAPS on Monday.

10 long positions for me, all growth, all tech - that will not change, even with this rotation.

[jaisonline]

Originally Posted by 7sins

Thanks for asking, did she say to what extent - also is this US or global? My research shows that there is zero FDA approved options so this should still generate solid revenue. ARK bought another 250k shares today, I think this will be a home run but will take time to really move, especially with

She basically shrugged and said it's not a big deal like NASH in the grand scheme of things if focusing on a stock price. She's not an investor but focuses purely on treating her patients.

[JParm]

Originally Posted by jpeezy14@hotmail.com

NKE reports at close today - no position and not playing options into earnings (got burned the quarter previous to last consequently missed out on last quarter's boom), as I'm not sure which way this one will head.

If it shows excessive signs of weakness post-earnings, I'll look to pickup a few LEAPS on Monday.

10 long positions for me, all growth, all tech - that will not change, even with this rotation.

I lied - ending up buying some April / 140 calls; at least it'll get me through another earnings call, should this one go to bed.

[logo]

Originally Posted by jpeezy14@hotmail.com

I lied - ending up buying some April / 140 calls; at least it'll get me through another earnings call, should this one go to bed.

Haha can’t resist the swoosh. I bought Jan $145 calls and have had shares for a while - expecting either a limited downside sell the news/profit taking move (in which case I’ll just sell the calls Monday) or a nice upside swing, on the back of growing online business. LULU had awesome earnings as well, expecting NKE to be stellar.

[JParm]

Originally Posted by logo

Haha can’t resist the swoosh. I bought Jan $145 calls and have had shares for a while - expecting either a limited downside sell the news/profit taking move (in which case I’ll just sell the calls Monday) or a nice upside swing, on the back of growing online business. LULU had awesome earnings as well, expecting NKE to be stellar.

Yes, that is kind of where my head's at - I'm heavy e-commerce (SE, AMZN, MELI), and I truly see NKE bearing similar fruits to those companies recently.

Now, whether the price action follows...

[Hard_Six]

My FedEx call options are feeling the pain right now.

[sokoloka]

Originally Posted by Hard_Six

My FedEx call options are feeling the pain right now.

Time to dollar cost average!

[7sins]

^exactly, this is a gift at $275. Added significantly to June 300C, IV came in and oversold compared relatively to the other strikes, down 32% today. DCA will bring your cost basis down and when this reverses, you will be in the green. Perfect day to buy on an over-reaction to a phenomenal quarter and what will be another record setting holiday quarter. It is always the hardest to add to a position when you are in the red.

[Hard_Six]

Y'all are right... doubling down on some June 290C's

[greeneyedguy]

Grow generation (a hydroponics retail shop) was at 4 bucks a few years ago. Its now around 35. They are moving into newly legalized states and growing like a weed.

[jaisonline]

Anyone else looking at $dash puts for $120 May 21 puts?

I just don’t see the appeal for this company. When I have food delivered, the wife & I either go with the cheapest option or the restaurants own delivery person. We also have been using pick-up due to eliminate the delivery time.

Pus, totally insane that $dash is trading at these current levels. Too bad Andrew Left published his report recently because they aren’t as cheap anymore

I’m also reading through their S1 for insider lockout dates.

[7sins]

Originally Posted by Hard_Six

Y'all are right... doubling down on some June 290C's

Remember you have over 6 months for this to work out brother, so watching the daily/hour swings would give anyone an aneurysm. Give it a few weeks before evaluating and don’t panic sell without giving them time to recover. This is exactly why we don’t do monthlies or weeklies, plenty of time here. Something similar happened to UPS after their earnings call, they sold off and then have been steadily rising. Those TAK calls I told you about should be up over 9% today and offsetting some of those losses.

[Hard_Six]

Originally Posted by 7sins

Remember you have over 6 months for this to work out brother, so watching the daily/hour swings would give anyone an aneurysm. Give it a few weeks before evaluating and don’t panic sell without giving them time to recover. This is exactly why we don’t do monthlies or weeklies, plenty of time here. Something similar happened to UPS after their earnings call, they sold off and then have been steadily rising. Those TAK calls I told you about should be up over 9% today and offsetting some of those losses.

I'm in these for a bit, no worries. And you're right, the TAK and COTY calls are looking good.

[jaisonline]

2020-12-18
Market on close imbalance :
$1B to the buy side

[JParm]

https://seekingalpha.com/news/364595...edium=referral

Nike with beats across the board; my calls looking good thus far. We'll see what sort of guidance they come out with, but I anticipate Monday to be green barring a horrendous earnings call.

Edit: From another article, Nike reported digital sales up 84%, with "triple-digit growth in North America and strong double-digit increases in EMEA, Greater China and APLA." E-commerce continues to kill.

[logo]

Originally Posted by jpeezy14@hotmail.com

https://seekingalpha.com/news/364595...edium=referral

Nike with beats across the board; my calls looking good thus far. We'll see what sort of guidance they come out with, but I anticipate Monday to be green barring a horrendous earnings call.

Edit: From another article, Nike reported digital sales up 84%, with "triple-digit growth in North America and strong double-digit increases in EMEA, Greater China and APLA." E-commerce continues to kill.

Congrats fellow NKE Bull! I love it when companies I love do well. Been a Nike man for as long as I can remember.

[JWD531]

Originally Posted by greeneyedguy

Grow generation (a hydroponics retail shop) was at 4 bucks a few years ago. Its now around 35. They are moving into newly legalized states and growing like a weed.

Ha!


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