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Old 6 January 2022, 11:38 PM   #8851
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DKNG looks very good at the current price...got out of my Apple may make the swap.
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Old 7 January 2022, 12:16 AM   #8852
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DKNG looks very good at the current price...got out of my Apple may make the swap.

Yeah. I thought the same at $33, $30, $29 and $28. Not sure anymore as we need 1 or 2 things to happen.
1) Jim Chanos needs to publicly state he’s no longer short.
2) DKNG kills it this quarter and 2021 calendar year. It wouldn’t hurt if they slightly decreased user acquisition costs but I doubt they will.

Do do think there will be at least 1 merger / acquisition in 2021 with all these companies. I know DIS wants in and SEAH (Sport Group) wants to de-spac.

Personally, I will never reduce my Apple and Amazon positions in the foreseeable future.
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Old 7 January 2022, 12:34 AM   #8853
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Today was a bloodbath...absolute carnage. Out of my 30+ positions, only TBT was positive . Hope everyone faired better than I today, this had to be one of my worst days and I am completely underweight tech along with high P/S stocks.

Want to see how things shakeout tomorrow, plan to initiate 2024 $30C LABU.
completely wrecked yesterday as well, especially with the crypto liquidations finally happening on top of that so nothing was safe for me. makes me wonder though, that kind of a reaction was just from the fed saying they might have to raise rates sooner than expected, will they actually be able to go through with it without causing a financial disaster? lol
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Old 7 January 2022, 12:45 AM   #8854
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I got crushed the last two days as well. But I am a very passive trader in that my FA takes care of it. I do watch closely as to what he is doing though, and I need to stop.

It is driving me nuts.

Thankfully, I have a decent amount of dry powder and I keep enough liquid personally that it helps me sleep at night.

I think it is going to get worse before it gets better. And I think any recovery, when it actually happens, will take a long a$$ time.

The Ninja says, just invest in microscoft and apple. Starting to make more and more sense.
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Old 7 January 2022, 12:52 AM   #8855
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I got crushed the last two days as well. But I am a very passive trader in that my FA takes care of it. I do watch closely as to what he is doing though, and I need to stop.

It is driving me nuts.

Thankfully, I have a decent amount of dry powder and I keep enough liquid personally that it helps me sleep at night.

I think it is going to get worse before it gets better. And I think any recovery, when it actually happens, will take a long a$$ time.

The Ninja says, just invest in microscoft and apple. Starting to make more and more sense.
i tend to agree. i'm not one to normally panic and i'd say i have a pretty high risk tolerance, but i really can't see how this gets better any time soon. every day i just get notifications for stocks hitting new 52 week lows
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Old 7 January 2022, 01:17 AM   #8856
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I sold all of my Ford this morning. Now only holding BBIG. Thinking I’m just going to step away from the table for a while and hopefully get my TYDE and recoup a little cash in the next few months.


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Old 7 January 2022, 01:23 AM   #8857
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You are a brave man swing trading brother, glad you made some coin on AUPH. Keep a close eye on it, back to sub $20, 200MA is ~$17, should see strong resistance and you could run it back up.

I will be over here hanging on for dear life.
The man some call brave, others call an idiot. Lol.

I’ve got my Ford cash just sitting now, I think it needs a break. That said, the right opportunity presents itself I may throw it all in to AUPH. Heard anything else regarding B/O?


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Old 7 January 2022, 01:31 AM   #8858
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Looking like a clean SPY bounce off the 50d MA of 466. Hope it holds.
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Old 7 January 2022, 06:25 AM   #8859
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DraftKings got approval for sports betting in NY

"The Gaming Commission said four licensed Mobile Sports Wagering Operators — Caesars Sportsbook, DraftKings, FanDuel, and Rush Street Interactive — have been approved to accept sports bets after 9 a.m. Saturday."

https://nypost.com/2022/01/06/mobile...k-on-saturday/
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Old 7 January 2022, 08:52 AM   #8860
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DraftKings got approval for sports betting in NY

"The Gaming Commission said four licensed Mobile Sports Wagering Operators — Caesars Sportsbook, DraftKings, FanDuel, and Rush Street Interactive — have been approved to accept sports bets after 9 a.m. Saturday."

https://nypost.com/2022/01/06/mobile...k-on-saturday/

Good news for the stock. Not sure how much money they will make from NY though. NY gets 51% of revenue right off the bat. RSI prob becomes even a larger takeover target now.
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Old 8 January 2022, 09:19 AM   #8861
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The man some call brave, others call an idiot. Lol.

I’ve got my Ford cash just sitting now, I think it needs a break. That said, the right opportunity presents itself I may throw it all in to AUPH. Heard anything else regarding B/O?


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Haha little bit of column a and little bit of column b.

It has been eerily quiet from AUPH management, not a peep, perhaps due to current negotiations. Nothing new from Bloomberg or Betaville on updated BO rumors, the silence I think is causing the low volume and pullback here as BO hopes dissipate from impatient retail investors. Look under the hood at L2 data and you can see the manipulation with order flow. Important to note next week is the JMP biotech conference, the biggest biotech conference of the year. Should see some deals announced at the conference this week, BMY and NVS I believe both speak Monday, that should gives us a bit more insight into their bolt-on acquisition plan. More importantly, AUPH presents Thursday at 9:45AM and we should see the complete A2 data along with I presume a script update. Closed below $19 today, I have been trimming other positions to keep adding here and LABU as they pullback. I try to add most days it is down, it is one of very few positions I have ever let break my max 10% allocation rule. Mansion or shack I suppose.

Hope everyone has a great weekend! Cheers to hopefully greener days next week.
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Old 8 January 2022, 09:45 AM   #8862
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Haha little bit of column a and little bit of column b.

It has been eerily quiet from AUPH management, not a peep, perhaps due to current negotiations. Nothing new from Bloomberg or Betaville on updated BO rumors, the silence I think is causing the low volume and pullback here as BO hopes dissipate from impatient retail investors. Look under the hood at L2 data and you can see the manipulation with order flow. Important to note next week is the JMP biotech conference, the biggest biotech conference of the year. Should see some deals announced at the conference this week, BMY and NVS I believe both speak Monday, that should gives us a bit more insight into their bolt-on acquisition plan. More importantly, AUPH presents Thursday at 9:45AM and we should see the complete A2 data along with I presume a script update. Closed below $19 today, I have been trimming other positions to keep adding here and LABU as they pullback. I try to add most days it is down, it is one of very few positions I have ever let break my max 10% allocation rule. Mansion or shack I suppose.

Hope everyone has a great weekend! Cheers to hopefully greener days next week.

Further: PFE CEO appears to have alluded to AUPH yesterday during Goldman Sachs Healthcare conference. Point is that AUPH is on everyone’s radar. Which BP is going to blink first and have a risk less solution to their patent cliff revenue problem?

https://s28.q4cdn.com/781576035/file...2022-01-06.pdf

Pg 8
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Old 8 January 2022, 12:57 PM   #8863
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I'm long with AUPH and been looking at the Cash Flow statement and it looks pretty dismal. Is the company at a point where they need someone to buy them or else, or is this a normal look for a small cap biotech just getting going. I don't have much experience around them and wondering what you guys think.
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Old 8 January 2022, 01:27 PM   #8864
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I'm long with AUPH and been looking at the Cash Flow statement and it looks pretty dismal. Is the company at a point where they need someone to buy them or else, or is this a normal look for a small cap biotech just getting going. I don't have much experience around them and wondering what you guys think.
Remember AUPH is a one drug only company that just got FDA approval the beginning of 2021 during COVID. It takes time for scripts and sales to ramp up as with any other small biotech. They will be cashflow positive this year and forecasted to hit peak yearly revenue of $1-2B in a few years, which I think is now a low estimate given the failing safety data of its only competitor, Benlysta. Also, each new patient treatment is $65k yearly cost at 97% margin. As you can imagine, this is VERY attractive to any large BP with excessive cash and looking to expand/enter the autoimmune disease market. AUPH is a small company with a small salesforce, BP will have a much larger SF that can quickly assimilate and get this out to the masses, hence why it is so valuable. Additionally, this is a life threatening disease, I would like to see BP get it distributed to the masses and doctors as quickly as possible - ZERO deaths in their A2 data.

The company was designed to be bought-out and that is exactly what the current CEO was brought on to do, the only question is what number is the BOD willing to except. Or they GIA and over the next few years and the stock could grow to a much higher valuation than what a BO multiple would offer today. Lets not forget, look at the balance sheet, they have $398M in cash which would go several years at their current burn-rate with the optionality of an ATM shelf should they need further funding.

They will become the Standard of Care, EU approval pending, no competitor, increasing scripts numbers and absolutely stellar A2 data. Don't get me wrong, biotech investing is not for the faint of heart but I do not see many other derisked opportunities like this in the biotech market which has been systemically selling off the last year. Those who are patient will be rewarded here.

That or we will have to do our Vegas trip in RENO instead

Just my .02, not financial advice, do your own DD etc etc
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Old 8 January 2022, 01:27 PM   #8865
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I'm long with AUPH and been looking at the Cash Flow statement and it looks pretty dismal. Is the company at a point where they need someone to buy them or else, or is this a normal look for a small cap biotech just getting going. I don't have much experience around them and wondering what you guys think.

You are not wrong that their cash flow statement is something to be concerned with if you haven’t followed the company. The P/S is scary to be frank from an outsider’s perspective.

Their drug was approved by FDA 1st qtr 2021 and started commercializing it. Their ‘21:
Q1 sales was $0.9 mil
Q2 sales was $6.6 mil
Q3 sales was $14.7 mil
Q4 sales est $40-50 mil

Company burns around $35-$50 mil per qtr and they have $300 mil+ in cash. There is a payment of $50 mil royalty payment expected Q2 ‘22 from Otsuka for International sales. Royalty payment will increase as approval from EMA(European Medical Agency) for EU sales is expected this year and selling market expands.

All this means they no longer have to dilute share value with more offerings. Share price valuation is calculated with potential annual peak sales. 20% market penetration is valued at $1 billion with $65K per patient revenue annually. The pricing of $65K per patient comes from kidney dialysis cost of $90K/yr which is the next step if LN worsens.

People believe big pharmas can penetrate the market further thus using $2-3 B as annual peak sales potential due to lack of competition and the drug becoming the standard of care to treat LN. There is approx 150 mil shares outstanding if you account for warrants and potential options awards if company sells.

Sale of company at 4X annual peak sales gives you a potential share buyout price of $4-12 B($4B/.155($25/share) - $12B/.155($77/share.))

Hope this helps
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Old 8 January 2022, 02:14 PM   #8866
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I'm a believer in AUPH but traded out a little ways back. Look into BCRX at these levels if you're looking to speculate a bit in biotech. Much better risk/reward imo.
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Old 8 January 2022, 02:17 PM   #8867
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Remember AUPH is a one drug only company that just got FDA approval the beginning of 2021 during COVID. It takes time for scripts and sales to ramp up as with any other small biotech. They will be cashflow positive this year and forecasted to hit peak yearly revenue of $1-2B in a few years, which I think is now a low estimate given the failing safety data of its only competitor, Benlysta. Also, each new patient treatment is $65k yearly cost at 97% margin. As you can imagine, this is VERY attractive to any large BP with excessive cash and looking to expand/enter the autoimmune disease market. AUPH is a small company with a small salesforce, BP will have a much larger SF that can quickly assimilate and get this out to the masses, hence why it is so valuable. Additionally, this is a life threatening disease, I would like to see BP get it distributed to the masses and doctors as quickly as possible - ZERO deaths in their A2 data.

The company was designed to be bought-out and that is exactly what the current CEO was brought on to do, the only question is what number is the BOD willing to except. Or they GIA and over the next few years and the stock could grow to a much higher valuation than what a BO multiple would offer today. Lets not forget, look at the balance sheet, they have $398M in cash which would go several years at their current burn-rate with the optionality of an ATM shelf should they need further funding.

They will become the Standard of Care, EU approval pending, no competitor, increasing scripts numbers and absolutely stellar A2 data. Don't get me wrong, biotech investing is not for the faint of heart but I do not see many other derisked opportunities like this in the biotech market which has been systemically selling off the last year. Those who are patient will be rewarded here.

That or we will have to do our Vegas trip in RENO instead

Just my .02, not financial advice, do your own DD etc etc


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You are not wrong that their cash flow statement is something to be concerned with if you haven’t followed the company. The P/S is scary to be frank from an outsider’s perspective.

Their drug was approved by FDA 1st qtr 2021 and started commercializing it. Their ‘21:
Q1 sales was $0.9 mil
Q2 sales was $6.6 mil
Q3 sales was $14.7 mil
Q4 sales est $40-50 mil

Company burns around $35-$50 mil per qtr and they have $300 mil+ in cash. There is a payment of $50 mil royalty payment expected Q2 ‘22 from Otsuka for International sales. Royalty payment will increase as approval from EMA(European Medical Agency) for EU sales is expected this year and selling market expands.

All this means they no longer have to dilute share value with more offerings. Share price valuation is calculated with potential annual peak sales. 20% market penetration is valued at $1 billion with $65K per patient revenue annually. The pricing of $65K per patient comes from kidney dialysis cost of $90K/yr which is the next step if LN worsens.

People believe big pharmas can penetrate the market further thus using $2-3 B as annual peak sales potential due to lack of competition and the drug becoming the standard of care to treat LN. There is approx 150 mil shares outstanding if you account for warrants and potential options awards if company sells.

Sale of company at 4X annual peak sales gives you a potential share buyout price of $4-12 B($4B/.155($25/share) - $12B/.155($77/share.))

Hope this helps


It was a pleasure reading your comments. Thanks for taking the time. Always a great education.


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Old 9 January 2022, 12:52 AM   #8868
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I'm glad they have cash available to them. I looked at it earlier on their balance sheet but it didn't ring a bell as being available to cover them for a longer period of time.

And it did seem as though they were printing stock shares like it was confetti for a bit, so I'm glad it looks like they won't need to do that again for the immediate future.

Thanks again
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Old 9 January 2022, 06:27 AM   #8869
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Great article in Barron's this weekend on biotech, worth the two minute read, similar to what I have been posting on Bio the last few weeks. Notably: "The selloff has more than 70 biotech companies with more cash than their combined equity and debt".

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Old 9 January 2022, 08:09 AM   #8870
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Great article in Barron's this weekend on biotech, worth the two minute read, similar to what I have been posting on Bio the last few weeks.
Thanks for sharing sins, I'm ready to pitch back in to some of the same names we've already covered and other new ones so appreciate all that you provide here!
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Old 9 January 2022, 12:35 PM   #8871
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Thanks for sharing sins, I'm ready to pitch back in to some of the same names we've already covered and other new ones so appreciate all that you provide here!
You are very welcome my good man, appreciate all your input here too! Agree with your earlier post on BCRX, it is on my short list. Here is another great chart, look at these relative XBI drawdowns - I do believe we were overbought when the vaccines were released but this is clearly oversold now. Will be interesting to see how soon a bottom forms here.

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Old 10 January 2022, 06:00 AM   #8872
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Last post for this weekend I promise, but great article published this weekend discussing the positive prospects for biotech in 2022, a lot of which confirming my thesis from a few pages back along with some great additional data points.

10 Reasons Why Biotech Could Be the Hottest Sector in 2022
Jan 6
Written By David Stone

Biotech was one of the worst-performing sectors last year, but it might be the top-performing sector in 2022. Here are 10 reasons why.

1. Big pharma is flush with cash.

Not only do large pharma companies like Pfizer, Merck, and Roche have a combined trillion dollars in market cap available to issue shares, they’re flush with money from selling vaccines, treatments, and other Covid-19 related products.

Big pharma is sitting on a dragon’s hoard of cash. They could buy up any small or micro-cap company they wanted. Think about your own personal finances. Imagine the mindset of walking around an electronics store when you’re broke. Everything seems expensive. It would be foolish to upgrade even your toaster.



Now imagine it’s Christmas and someone just gave you a million dollars in tax-free cash. How’s that 65-inch 8K TV looking now? Like pocket change, I bet.

Big pharma could easily go on a biotech shopping spree. This alone could lift the entire sector. If your company is trading near cash with a decent-looking pipeline, you could be in line for 2x-3x payout this year.

Merger Monday, coming soon to a theater near you.

2. Many small cap/micro caps are near 52-week-lows

This ties into the first point, but it also stands alone. Not only are your cheap biotech stocks more prone to buyouts, they’re also prone to reverting to the mean.

Stocks never stay undervalued forever. Eventually they become too disconnected from reality and they snap back to where they’re supposed to. In this case, it could be the entire sector.

If every other sector has reached its peak, the only respectable gains left to found will be in biotech. Hedge funds need gains every year to keep attracting clients. Eventually they will have to pivot to biotech. Otherwise they just look like a boring ETF.

3. Most other sectors are near 52-week-highs

Somehow the broader market has thus far dodged a March 2020 collapse. Omicron continues to rage and this doesn’t make a lot of sense. Systems are collapsing nationwide, but $SPY keeps marching on.

We’ve got airline cancellations, hospitals running out of ambulances, restaurants and retail closing due to staffing shortages, etc. And it will only get worse.

Buying into sectors or companies that could be affected by Omicron (or a worse variant) seems foolish at this point. Especially when they’re already trading at record highs. Eventually this will correct, and these stocks might drop significantly.

But where’s biotech going to go? It’s already in the garbage dump. Many small caps are trading near cash value. They’ve got enough funding to last for years. It would be tough for biotech to drop any lower without triggering a tidal wave of M&A.



4. Covid-19 is creating new health problems

Are you familiar with long Covid? It’s affecting millions of people around the planet. People are suffering from months (going into years) of fatigue, memory loss, joint pain, chest pain, and more. Doctors estimate that between 20-25% of people who get Covid-19 will experience long Covid. And since the US is currently tracking near a million cases a day, this is significant.

While we should definitely be focused on preventing new infections, at some point biotech will need to pivot to treating long Covid patients.

Other health problems are also arising due to postponed surgeries and doctor visits. Cancer is very treatable if caught early, but it’s very difficult to treat if you catch it late. Some doctors are expecting a tsunami of cancer cases in the next few years just because of Covid. So, if your small biotech company has an oncology pipeline, they could be set up for serious gains while at the same time helping millions of people

5. More catalysts in 2022 than 2021

In 2021 we were still figuring out Covid. Some people still weren’t masking, others wore bandanas, or near-worthless single-layer cloth masks. We didn’t have enough air purifiers installed. And the big one, we didn’t even have vaccines at the start of 2021.

Last year was the big roll out of preventative measures. 2022 is hopefully the year we can start to benefit from that.

2021 saw a lot of trials dates getting pushed back. Some trials even had a hard time recruiting. Many pre-clinical companies also went public in 2021. Some of them have catalysts in 2022.

All of this leads to more catalysts in 2022 than there were in 2021. More catalysts are always better because some of these will pan out spectacularly, which will lead to excitement in the sector.

One of the most important non-biotech catalysts in 2022 is the American midterm elections. Republicans are likely to do well, which is good news for healthcare and the biotech sector. (Less pricing reforms.)



6. Less biotech IPOs in 2022

2021 saw more than 100 small biotech companies go public. Many of these were pre-clinical, which means they are years from producing revenue. Wall Street has an easy time shorting and destroying the market cap of companies like that. In fact, more than 80% of all the biotechs that went public in 2021 are underwater.

Given how poorly these companies performed, we’re likely to see less IPOs in 2022. This is great. If all the biotechs have been massacred, and there are less new ones to beat up, then the only direction left is up. It could take some time, but it’s impossible that companies with pipelines and cash continue to trade at near cash. This assumes that all of them will fail and/or need additional funding, and that’s just not the case.

7. Drug pricing reforms not looking that bad

Joe Biden appears to be the classic Democrat. He promised a lot, had good intentions, but then was dragged into the quagmire and had to make concessions when he wanted his bills passed.

Drug pricing seems to be a victim Washington bureaucracy. If anything substantial happens, it’s likely to be in the prescription drug area. People love headlines that affect them or their loved ones. Things like a cost reduction for insulin, or EpiPens, are likely to see more play than a cost-reduction for CAR-T cancer treatments for tumors nobody has ever heard of.

8. Omicron and future variant panic

Despite Covid-19 doing trillions of dollars in economic damage every year, very few companies (relatively speaking) have focused their efforts on additional treatments or vaccines.

There was a misguided belief that Pfizer and Moderna would put an end to the pandemic, and now everyone is paying the price. Since it is human nature to lock the barn door after the horse has been stolen, I suspect that once we’re over the Omicron hump, governments might actually start preparing for the next variant.

There could be significant funding on the table for any company working on variant-proof Covid-19 vaccines or treatments. This should have already happened of course, but better late than never.



9. Many small cap bios don’t need money

If you look at their balance sheets, many small or micro-cap biotech companies are doing quite well. Matinas BioPharma, for example, has enough cash to fuel operations until 2024. That’s more than enough time for their catalysts to play out, which, if positive, can drastically increase the share price, making it a breeze to raise cash.

Some biotech companies that were destroyed in 2021 might start generating revenue in the next year. Yes, it can take a while to ramp up sales. Especially during a pandemic. But some companies will succeed and their revenue will eclipse their expenses before they run out of cash.

Less capital raises means less imploding share prices.

10. Institutional ownership is low.

Did your company release good data in 2021? Did the share price and volume spike, but then the price came crashing down again?

You’re not alone. This happened to a lot of companies. On Twitter, Brad Loncar suggested that institutions were using good data drops as liquidity events. As in, “Oh my god, the price is spiking here’s our opportunity to get out of this crappy sector.”

This can be confirmed by looking at institutional investment on sites like Fintel or WhaleWisdom. 13-Fs are issued after the end of each quarter. Institutions must report their holdings. And these holdings have been dropping.

Across the board, institutional investment in small-cap and micro-cap biotech is low. Even if the data was good, the sector is still trash, and institutions know they can buy back in for cheap later.

Just look at Matinas Biopharma. They released fantastic data for their oral amphotericin B formulation. Over the next few weeks, the stock went from $0.82 to $1.51. Then it started to drop. When the 13Fs came out, it was revealed that their largest shareholder (Boxer Capital) had liquidated their position. This seemed foolish given the quality of the data, but the stock price has now settled near $1. They could easily buy back in for cheaper than they sold.

You can see this happening across a lot of smaller biotech stocks.

1. Company releases great data.

2. Hype pushes the stock price higher and higher.

3. Institutions unload their shares on retail.

4. Price collapses because institutions aren’t buying, and it’s months or years before the next catalyst.

5. Retail gets bored and sells.

6. Institutions accumulate again.

Sound familiar?

Retail can move the needle, but it’s whales that make it stick. Until the institutions come back to biotech, valuations will remain depressed. Hopefully this is the year that biotech makes a roaring comeback. All signs are pointing to maybe.
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Old 10 January 2022, 11:29 AM   #8873
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7sins:

Thank you for your Biotech insight (and many other helpful postings)! I have what I'm sure will sound like a naive question but, when investing in a leveraged ETF like LABU that you have mentioned, is there a maximum number of days, weeks that you intend to hold before time decay offsets any potential upside?
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Old 10 January 2022, 04:23 PM   #8874
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7sins:

Thank you for your Biotech insight (and many other helpful postings)! I have what I'm sure will sound like a naive question but, when investing in a leveraged ETF like LABU that you have mentioned, is there a maximum number of days, weeks that you intend to hold before time decay offsets any potential upside?
There are no naive questions here! I hope everyone feels comfortable and encouraged to ask any questions that might arise.

Leveraged ETFs should ONLY BE used as a short term trading vehicle, DO not hold for long period of times. Why?

1. FEES are typically very high for leveraged ETFs that can erode gains. Less of an issue if you only own it for a few months.

2. Interest Expense: These etf's are 2-3X levered, to leverage these ETFs borrow money to multiple their exposure. The majority of these loans are floaters, so if interest rates rise, the cost to borrow capital rises. That comes out of the return of the ETF

3. Tracking Issues: Levered ETFs do not always exactly match the returns of the underlying.

4. Daily Reset.

5. Volatility Decay: This is VERY important and based off sequence of returns. When you have heightened volatility leverage can backfire. If you have several down days, it takes longer to recover your losses even at 3x leverage. If your leveraged etf is down 50% then you need to be up 100% to breakeven. Look at the example below, you have one index and another that is levered. You can see even though the index was positive the levered one was negative.



If the index trade sideways, fees, interest expense, vol decay means that you could lose money even if the index stays flat. This is why you want to use levered ETFs ONLY when there is a severe dislocation (same goes for closed end funds but that's a top for a different day). That is the challenge with levered ETFs, your timing needs to be pretty good, which is why I recommend averaging in. There are a lot of moving variables for how long I keep a levered ETF and you need to constantly asses how your thesis is playing out. I would say on average I keep them for 2 - 4 months. Personally I have to hold securities for 60 days due to my job, I could see using levered etfs for less than 2 months if I could. DEFINITELY want to trim and take gains when you use these as they can quickly dissipate.

My .02, not financial advice. B
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Old 11 January 2022, 12:42 AM   #8875
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waiting for the bounce

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Old 11 January 2022, 12:54 AM   #8876
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waiting for the bounce

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Old 11 January 2022, 12:56 AM   #8877
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Powers in control are really sucking liquidity out of the market. Suspect we have few more sessions like this.
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Old 11 January 2022, 01:03 AM   #8878
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BCRX bounce in motion today and positive news to keep up the momentum. Up 16% this AM on PR.

—ORLADEYO preliminary net revenue of $45.6 million for Q4 2021 and $122 million for FY 2021—
—ORLADEYO net revenue expected to more than double in 2022 to no less than $250 million; Company expects ORLADEYO to become the market leader in HAE prophylaxis therapy with peak sales of $1 billion—
—Enrollment of PNH patients has begun in REDEEM-1 and REDEEM-2 pivotal trials of BCX9930, oral Factor D inhibitor for complement-mediated diseases—

JPM Conference presentation today. Very excited with our opportunities here.

https://jpmorgan.metameetings.net/ev...?gpu_only=true
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Old 11 January 2022, 01:08 AM   #8879
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Powers in control are really sucking liquidity out of the market. Suspect we have few more sessions like this.
wouldn't surprise me but i hope this is close to the end, nasdaq down 10% from highs and tons of stocks down 40-50%. surely some kind of bounce is due

i still can't see fed actually raising rates with this kind of a reaction before anything was even done, unless this is just a sell the rumor kind of event. maybe they'll backpedal on it or push it back a bit
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Old 11 January 2022, 01:14 AM   #8880
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wouldn't surprise me but i hope this is close to the end, nasdaq down 10% from highs and tons of stocks down 40-50%. surely some kind of bounce is due

i still can't see fed actually raising rates with this kind of a reaction before anything was even done, unless this is just a sell the rumor kind of event. maybe they'll backpedal on it or push it back a bit

I am contemplating which of the senses I would exchange to be clairvoyant right now. Does that mean we are close?
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