Talking Stocks 2.0

[JParm]

https://seekingalpha.com/article/433...ter-businesses

Diversification 101.

[YYZed]

Originally Posted by Duey

I think we're getting to Monkey territory here and that's the scary part.
There is no true reason why. Hope and the government is not a reason.

Airlines are going up ??
MGM is going up ??
Carnival Corp is up ??

I nibbled at RCL on a lark when it was super low. Doubled my investment from industry that has an indeterminate future.
Just crazy.

[bryan13]

Originally Posted by jpeezy14@hotmail.com

https://seekingalpha.com/article/433...ter-businesses

Diversification 101.

Very nice read, thanks! Most of the stocks mentioned are already in my portfolio or on my watchlist. I have seen most mentioned here as well!

[beshannon]

Stocks still holding up before 2 pm, oil has rolled over though as few believe the "agreement" from OPEC will hold.

With the markets closed tomorrow any moves wont be known in the markets until Futures trading opens on Sunday at 6 pm

[YYZed]

Marriott anyone? Still seems to have plenty of meat left on that bone.

[beshannon]

Originally Posted by YYZed

Marriott anyone? Still seems to have plenty of meat left on that bone.

Solid company but the entire travel and leisure space is going to need time to recover.

Depending on how long you want to hold it, perhaps. I would not be a buyer.

[bryan13]

Originally Posted by beshannon

Solid company but the entire travel and leisure space is going to need time to recover.

Depending on how long you want to hold it, perhaps. I would not be a buyer.

I completely agree. Airlines are retiring older, less efficient planes ahead of schedule due to the lack of demand now and the time it will take for the entire industry to recover.

[derekhayden]

While I wont be holding through the long weekend, several oil companies treated me very well this week. I will be in for longer term once I see another good entry point.

There are so many great investments right now that everyone should have a pretty extensive watch list in a lot of industries.

[beshannon]

Fading into the close, I made no trades today as I am happy with my cash and asset allocation at this time

Will watch events over the weekend

[m j b]

This guy, who I follow but don't really follow, if you get my meaning, suggests here that we will retest the March lows, either in August or June. Maybe.

I think it's a good argument, but since this decline is based on an unexpected pandemic and not driven by financial markets like most declines, it's all really just a crap shoot.

[JParm]

Originally Posted by m j b

This guy, who I follow but don't really follow, if you get my meaning, suggests here that we will retest the March lows, either in August or June. Maybe.

I think it's a good argument, but since this decline is based on an unexpected pandemic and not driven by financial markets like most declines, it's all really just a crap shoot.

We've still got 40% of our cash on the ready. Taking bites here and there, and we do have a stair-step plan should we go down. Our plan is to deploy heavily should we see a retest, whether that's Monday or late summer.

[Hard_Six]

Originally Posted by jpeezy14@hotmail.com

We've still got 40% of our cash on the ready. Taking bites here and there, and we do have a stair-step plan should we go down. Our plan is to deploy heavily should we see a retest, whether that's Monday or late summer.

I agree. Pretty much the same on my end although I'm sitting at about 85% cash. I wasn't expecting such a substantial bull run this week and was looking to put more money to work. But everyday it went up I felt like I was getting baited into a bear mauling so I decided to wait (obviously I missed out on some pretty good upside). I do think this market will come back down though and offer ample opportunity to put fresh dollars to work at more attractive levels. I'm ready if/when that happens.

[JParm]

Selloff wasn't as bad as I thought it would be going into the weekend. Happy Easter all!

[Ny325]

I can’t believe Chipotle shares are around $750.00. Seems like whatever OPEC does, has a huge impact on the market. Oil was around $60.00 a barrel just over a month ago. Today last I saw, $23.00. Hope everyone is staying safe, and well at home.

[Tha Baron]

Originally Posted by Ny325

I can’t believe Chipotle shares are around $750.00. Seems like whatever OPEC does, has a huge impact on the market. Oil was around $60.00 a barrel just over a month ago. Today last I saw, $23.00. Hope everyone is staying safe, and well at home.

They have approximately 2600 stores which increased from 2490 in 2018. Market cap of $21.44B... that’s roughly $8MM per store front that brings in sales of $2.2mm and EBITDA of $320k per store. Let’s say it’s currently at a 24x EBITDA per store. That’s a lot of future burritos you’re buying...

[beshannon]

Originally Posted by m j b

This guy, who I follow but don't really follow, if you get my meaning, suggests here that we will retest the March lows, either in August or June. Maybe.

I think it's a good argument, but since this decline is based on an unexpected pandemic and not driven by financial markets like most declines, it's all really just a crap shoot.

I have no idea whether there will be a retest or not. I dislike people who say we must retest. I can only look at the charts and see where I think things will be during my goal period

Originally Posted by Ny325

I can’t believe Chipotle shares are around $750.00. Seems like whatever OPEC does, has a huge impact on the market. Oil was around $60.00 a barrel just over a month ago. Today last I saw, $23.00. Hope everyone is staying safe, and well at home.

This has always been a cult stock like TSLA

[SMD]

Originally Posted by Tha Baron

They have approximately 2600 stores which increased from 2490 in 2018. Market cap of $21.44B... that’s roughly $8MM per store front that brings in sales of $2.2mm and EBITDA of $320k per store. Let’s say it’s currently at a 24x EBITDA per store. That’s a lot of future burritos you’re buying...

Whoa tiger, that makes way too much sense. No fundamental analysis allowed.

[Bearxj86]

Originally Posted by Tha Baron

They have approximately 2600 stores which increased from 2490 in 2018. Market cap of $21.44B... that’s roughly $8MM per store front that brings in sales of $2.2mm and EBITDA of $320k per store. Let’s say it’s currently at a 24x EBITDA per store. That’s a lot of future burritos you’re buying...

Well as you mentioned, if you factor in even a 3-5% same store sames increase (especially for newer stores) and a 10% new store opening rate; you get a more reasonable valuation...

[logo]

Let’s see if this OPEC+ deal gets done.

[austinp]

Originally Posted by beshannon

Just my .02



Lots of hot crowded names, FAANG and TECH



As long as these are trades and not investments you should be fine as long as you manage the risk

Do you like any of the FAANG stocks as core long term investments?

Sent from my SM-G935P using Tapatalk

[Duey]

Originally Posted by SMD

Whoa tiger, that makes way too much sense. No fundamental analysis allowed.

I Love it

We need to considerate more on reality like -
- "I heard this on CNBC today"
- "and Cramer said"
- "Look Tesla is a very profitable company just look at the numbers"

[enjoythemusic]

what, no push for AAPL? Cramer will manipulate markets to make AAPL move up.

[JParm]

Originally Posted by austinp

Do you like any of the FAANG stocks as core long term investments?

Sent from my SM-G935P using Tapatalk

I know this was directed at beshannon, but I'll give my 2 cents.

I'm long on GOOGL and FB, and don't anticipate selling anytime soon. They're both large cap companies that continue to grow at a great pace, with excellent balance sheets. Not only are they extremely strong in the online ad game, but they are willing to spend money to acquire companies outside of that niche.

That's not to say that FAANG should be the only stocks that you own; I'm diversified enough that if those two take a hit, I'll be fine. Diversification is always key, but short answer to your question - yes, I like them a lot (the two that I own, at least).

[beshannon]

Originally Posted by austinp

Do you like any of the FAANG stocks as core long term investments?

Sent from my SM-G935P using Tapatalk

Yes I do, my comment was more toward your positions as being in crowded trades, but you indicated they are not long term holds

Originally Posted by jpeezy14@hotmail.com

I know this was directed at beshannon, but I'll give my 2 cents.

I'm long on GOOGL and FB, and don't anticipate selling anytime soon. They're both large cap companies that continue to grow at a great pace, with excellent balance sheets. Not only are they extremely strong in the online ad game, but they are willing to spend money to acquire companies outside of that niche.

That's not to say that FAANG should be the only stocks that you own; I'm diversified enough that if those two take a hit, I'll be fine. Diversification is always key, but short answer to your question - yes, I like them a lot (the two that I own, at least).

I like and own Amazon and Apple out of the FAANG names. They are long term holds for me as their ecosystems and moats are huge.

[EEpro]

Here's the fed backed list of can't lose ETFs according to ZH.

[Bruin Watch]

Originally Posted by Hard_Six

I agree. Pretty much the same on my end although I'm sitting at about 85% cash. I wasn't expecting such a substantial bull run this week and was looking to put more money to work. But everyday it went up I felt like I was getting baited into a bear mauling so I decided to wait (obviously I missed out on some pretty good upside). I do think this market will come back down though and offer ample opportunity to put fresh dollars to work at more attractive levels. I'm ready if/when that happens.

Same here. Was planning to gradually buy in over the next few weeks in case I needed to DCA down, but was taken by surprise by the rally. Glad some of you were able to put more to work.

[Eyenigma]

IMHO stocks will retest some lows as sports leagues in USA confirm complete cancellations for 2020. As well as the pipe dream of a May 1st reopening becoming less of a reality. Optimism will fade, and the recent rallies will give back their gains.

Assuming you have the cash or buying power - If you're compelled to go long, consider selling the Jan 2021 200 or 210 $SPY put options. Collect a nice premium and hope to be assigned. And either pocket the cash, or use the proceeds to buy some short term long call options. Maybe ATM May expiration, *if you believe we go higher from here.

I don't think holding actual shares is wise. At this point. At least not for me.

Bottom line, short term - IMHO we retest some lows. Long term, it's a great time to amass some shares on the cheap. Just don't blow your wad too soon. I think we will see more downside from here, before breaking to the next level(s).

[Duey]

Great read on Las Vegas -

https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/...gas-strip.aspx

[healer]

good read. thanks

[yoast]

So who thinks GILEAD (GILD) will be the one to first come up with a vaccine? Any other serious contenders?