Is it luck or something else

[clbcpa]

Ok. I have done my share of waiting on lists for various watches in the past but the last month has been very bountiful. In less than the last 60 days i have received the call and purchased:

black face stainless daytona
white face stainless daytona
Milgauss GV
DeepSea.

All of these at MSRP from the same AD (not a large chain). My question.. Is this just luck or have supply lines drastically changed since the price increases. Anybody else have similar experience?

[scottschoe]

I'd say a bit of luck has to play into that impressive list. Either supply has gone up or demand has gone down on the general market...can't really figure out which one.

[clbcpa]

Originally Posted by scottschoe

I'd say a bit of luck has to play into that impressive list. Either supply has gone up or demand has gone down on the general market...can't really figure out which one.

I definitely agree. The AD is a good chain but not a big player. We are in a small market area and I am certainly nothing special. Perhaps some of all three?

[areyes926]

I think it more of you are a good customer to the AD and they are taking care of you.

[2careless]

Originally Posted by areyes926

I think it more of you are a good customer to the AD and they are taking care of you.

Well yes, and trying to "milk you dry"

[Leighton]

Did you look for the "666" mark on the back of your AD's head?

[Z-Sub]

Originally Posted by areyes926

I think it more of you are a good customer to the AD and they are taking care of you.

Originally Posted by 2careless

Well yes, and trying to "milk you dry"

Yes and Yes.
My take is the demand is slower and that's what my AD had mentioned about the slower sales these days.

[CKay]

It is the slower sales. People are more reluctant to buy luxury watches now, in view of the worsening economic situation.

[llamaofdoom]

Demand is way down.

[clbcpa]

Originally Posted by llamaofdoom

Demand is way down.

I tend to agree with this most as my AD is small in a small market and these are all characterized as "high demand" watches. Therefore, the only way to have so many in a short time would be if demand worldwide was down

[TheVTCGuy]

I was at my AD today, I have never seen such a selection of (usually hard to find) models. They weren't as desperate as having SS Daytonas in the display case, but I DID see a YM II, a SS sub, and quite a few others I don't think I had EVER seen in the case. I'm convinced with the economy the way it is, Rolex sales must be down.

[Andad]

Good luck and plenty of $$$'s I think.

[scottschoe]

Originally Posted by TheVTCGuy

I was at my AD today, I have never seen such a selection of (usually hard to find) models. They weren't as desperate as having SS Daytonas in the display case, but I DID see a YM II, a SS sub, and quite a few others I don't think I had EVER seen in the case. I'm convinced with the economy the way it is, Rolex sales must be down.

SS Subs are normally not in the case?

Here in northern CA I don't see many AD's complaining about lack of sales these days. Last one I talked to said sales were still high as ever.

[ShawnK]

With that haul I think your AD owes you dinner! Every night for a week at least....

[Z-Sub]

Originally Posted by scottschoe

SS Subs are normally not in the case?

Here in northern CA I don't see many AD's complaining about lack of sales these days. Last one I talked to said sales were still high as ever.

Nor Cal, just like its real estate market has not been hit as hard as So Cal or the rest of the country. I'm not surprised the sale at Nor Cal is still good.

[Wolfgang427]

Originally Posted by CKay

It is the slower sales. People are more reluctant to buy luxury watches now, in view of the worsening economic situation.

Originally Posted by TheVTCGuy

I was at my AD today, I have never seen such a selection of (usually hard to find) models. They weren't as desperate as having SS Daytonas in the display case, but I DID see a YM II, a SS sub, and quite a few others I don't think I had EVER seen in the case. I'm convinced with the economy the way it is, Rolex sales must be down.

Agree Demand is way down across the board on all goods, but especially luxury goods. Give it time and there will be lots of good deals to come, but you've better have the cash to buy it as credit is drying up as I type this.

[boa2]

Originally Posted by Z-Sub

Nor Cal, just like its real estate market has not been hit as hard as So Cal or the rest of the country. I'm not surprised the sale at Nor Cal is still good.

I don't think so...

From the California Association of Realtors just last week:
The median price dropped 40.3 percent to $350,760, the biggest decline since the Realtors began tracking the market. In the Bay Area, the median sank 21.2 percent.

Watch sales in the Central Valley are terrible right now.

[oworkman]

Economic downturn, demand perhaps dropping globally??

[ashu2289]

It is really a good luck!!!!!!And also the demand is low for luxury goods which would be the case for next 3-4 months!!! Everybody is counting on the next quarter, so lets see where the demand goes then!!!!!!!

[chicagowatchman]

Its the economy.....pure and simple

[shoppy]

Economy id down, you would =not think it in London as some AD' are still snotty. I am just hoarding cash so I can go in and snap up.

[scottschoe]

Originally Posted by boa2

I don't think so...

From the California Association of Realtors just last week:
The median price dropped 40.3 percent to $350,760, the biggest decline since the Realtors began tracking the market. In the Bay Area, the median sank 21.2 percent.

Watch sales in the Central Valley are terrible right now.

Sort of depends on the area of NorCal. Last time I checked, home sale prices in my area were still going up steadily. I def. believe the Central Valley comment, however.

[TheVTCGuy]

Originally Posted by scottschoe

Sort of depends on the area of NorCal. Last time I checked, home sale prices in my area were still going up steadily. I def. believe the Central Valley comment, however.

I need to move there... here in SOCAL my house value has gone down... well... a LOT!

[walds11]

.

[walds11]

Agreed. And maybe throw in a little luck.

Originally Posted by chicagowatchman

Its the economy.....pure and simple

[buz-lh]

Wow Carey, great scores. Who cares why, just enjoy your good luck.

[stevemulholland3]

I think it has something to do with the mayan calanders' prediction of the eminent demise of humanity next year.either that or you just got lucky..

[toph]

that a mazing a bit of Luck- but you had your name down on the lists so you were going to get them at some point- but all in two months is great!!

[casadecamporolex]

My small town AD has also received more SS Daytona, Milgauss (all versions) and the GMTII than regular stock in the last few months.
I think they are having a hard time selling them, for the first time ever.
No waiting lists except for the new SDDS and DDII.

I almost feel sorry for the AD; he is eating a lot of product now without a good prospect to turn them over.

Plus, the grey market has to be eating into the sales volume.

[BigHat]

Originally Posted by casadecamporolex

Plus, the grey market has to be eating into the sales volume.

Well, there would be no GM if it weren't for ADs feeding it.

The niche buying opportunity seems to be an ample sized AD in an area that has a big drop in demand. Sadly, I don't see much change in the DC area.