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Old 31 March 2020, 03:24 AM   #1
AbsolutelyROLEX!
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Greys not budging, just tried

Just tried to make an offer on a 116500 on chrono24
$19795 listed
Will not go any lower, even when mentioning 800 others listed
I dont know guys, I think everybody is going to hold out
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Old 31 March 2020, 03:27 AM   #2
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Thanks for the update. If you don't mind me asking, was your offer close or was it significantly lower?
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Old 31 March 2020, 03:29 AM   #3
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Originally Posted by AbsolutelyROLEX! View Post
Just tried to make an offer on a 116500 on chrono24
$19795 listed
Will not go any lower, even when mentioning 800 others listed
I dont know guys, I think everybody is going to hold out
Was it white or black? Thanks.
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Old 31 March 2020, 03:38 AM   #4
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The reality of the situation hasn't hit them completely yet. We are still in shock mode.
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Old 31 March 2020, 03:40 AM   #5
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If they can hold on they will hold on, with severe lockdowns in place this thing could start to turn in a couple of months, esp with public perception as the initial fear over this virus will have dissipated and the economist's voice will start to trump the medic's. With everyone now committed to combating this virus, this looks like a shorter term micro issue than a long term macro issue.
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Old 31 March 2020, 03:41 AM   #6
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Originally Posted by AbsolutelyROLEX! View Post
Just tried to make an offer on a 116500 on chrono24
$19795 listed
Will not go any lower, even when mentioning 800 others listed
I dont know guys, I think everybody is going to hold out
Hold out for how long?
The USA economy is now going to be shut down until May.
Let's see how long these watch dealers can go with no cash flow and just sit on inventory collecting dust.
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Old 31 March 2020, 03:42 AM   #7
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They can probably hold steady for months. Supply on a global scale isn't huge IMHO...This might all be over by the time they would have to sacrifice inventory...Just my two cents...
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Old 31 March 2020, 03:45 AM   #8
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It was a black
I just asked what his lowest would be
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Old 31 March 2020, 03:45 AM   #9
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Maybe there part of the bail out
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Old 31 March 2020, 03:51 AM   #10
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Think this is going to last longer than what ppl think.....the economic consequences will be huge but they won’t be really felt until this pandemic and lockdown is over, recession will hit hard...with many places closed down due to lockdowns world wide there’s plenty of workers loosing out on wages and business owners loosing on takings and cost...
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Old 31 March 2020, 03:51 AM   #11
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I talk with a grey based in Paris and he told me that sale are great at the moment ! (maybe he lied to me)
I think it's still strong now because nothing (really) changed for people now because it's been for 2 weeks.
But in 3 months it will be a different story I suppose...
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Old 31 March 2020, 03:53 AM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigblu10 View Post
Hold out for how long?
The USA economy is now going to be shut down until May.
Let's see how long these watch dealers can go with no cash flow and just sit on inventory collecting dust.

I think once the virus has run its course and we’re getting back to normalcy AND there’s still much less interest in the BLROs, Daytona’s, Hulks...then it’ll come crashing down

The greys are holding out bc they think it’s just the virus that’s causing this
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Old 31 March 2020, 03:54 AM   #13
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This hasn't really hit us economically yet, give it 1 month.
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Old 31 March 2020, 03:56 AM   #14
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Originally Posted by gregouille View Post
I talk with a grey based in Paris and he told me that sale are great at the moment ! (maybe he lied to me)
I think it's still strong now because nothing (really) changed for people now because it's been for 2 weeks.
But in 3 months it will be a different story I suppose...
I would guess he's lying. Something like this can be a massive shock to a business and they can be in denial mode, and actually be angry to admit sales are not doing well.

Then again the real economic situation hasn't really hit business yet, give it another 1-2 months.
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Old 31 March 2020, 04:00 AM   #15
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As a buyer, I have nothing to lose by waiting.
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Old 31 March 2020, 04:02 AM   #16
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He may not be able to drop much less and is still trying to turn a profit

Just bide your time, play it cool and they will drp
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Old 31 March 2020, 04:05 AM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AbsolutelyROLEX! View Post
It was a black
I just asked what his lowest would be
Dealer probably doesn’t want to negotiate against himself. Many dealers simply won’t respond to ‘what’s your lowest prices’ inquiries. You’d need to offer him a number that you’re willing to pay, and if he says yes you really should buy..
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Old 31 March 2020, 04:06 AM   #18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigblu10 View Post
Hold out for how long?
The USA economy is now going to be shut down until May.
Let's see how long these watch dealers can go with no cash flow and just sit on inventory collecting dust.
Agree and I don't think the recovery will be an instant bounce back so it will put more pressure on them over the coming months.

Also ALL Greys with inventory would have to hold out. As soon as a couple start lowering prices the rest will have to follow or just sit on stock that no one will buy hoping pricing get back to an all time high.
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Old 31 March 2020, 04:07 AM   #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AbsolutelyROLEX! View Post
It was a black
I just asked what his lowest would be

Asking what the lowest will be doesn’t usually work

Maybe you can message him/her and say “hey I can offer $19,000”

Something like that might work
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Old 31 March 2020, 04:10 AM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AbsolutelyROLEX! View Post
It was a black
I just asked what his lowest would be

That rarely works. Make an offer: go in at $18k and see where the discussion goes.


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Old 31 March 2020, 04:10 AM   #21
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Grey's aren't hurting.....especially with a large number of Ad's shutdown.
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Old 31 March 2020, 04:11 AM   #22
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Dealer probably doesn’t want to negotiate against himself. Many dealers simply won’t respond to ‘what’s your lowest prices’ inquiries. You’d need to offer him a number that you’re willing to pay, and if he says yes you really should buy..

Agree


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Old 31 March 2020, 04:12 AM   #23
AbsolutelyROLEX!
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Just made an offer of 19k....
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Old 31 March 2020, 04:17 AM   #24
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AbsolutelyROLEX! View Post
It was a black
I just asked what his lowest would be
A lot of dealers will not respond or give
you their lowest price. Decide on a legit
reasonable offer you’re willing to pay and
see what happens...
I’ve seen countless dealers
address this “ What’s your lowest price “ term .

Clearly they say they will not respond or reply to such
questions... Good Luck!
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Old 31 March 2020, 04:18 AM   #25
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Just made an offer of 19k....
That’s more like it ... hope they will accept your offer.
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Old 31 March 2020, 04:18 AM   #26
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When I was selling 2 of my pieces I would ignore “what’s your lowest price” messages.
When I had people ask what my best price was id ask them to link me to a lower price full set still in rolex service warrantee and id consider bettering it. (As mine was the lowest on chrono24 and a better set than anything even close to my price). Eventually both sold for asking price, and I met in the middle on delivery costs.

I did have people make me offers and I considered them and made counter offers, all ended up being dreamers and tire kickers. I would hate to be a watch dealer just after those 2 sales. Major major hassle dealing with the general public, you never realise how many stupid or time wasting people are out there until you give it a shot !
Was worth it compared to selling to a dealer direct though (which offered £1500 less than I actually sold them for, After chrono24 commission !)

So please moral of the story is, please don’t waste the sellers time ! Selling watches is an agonising process
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Old 31 March 2020, 04:21 AM   #27
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As a buyer, I have nothing to lose by waiting.
X1

Capitulation is coming.
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Old 31 March 2020, 04:21 AM   #28
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Also, dealers that purchased their inventory with a credit line will need to be more negotiable.

“Only When The Tide Goes Out Do You Discover Who’s Been Swimming Naked.” Warren Buffett
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Old 31 March 2020, 04:25 AM   #29
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as a buyer, i have nothing to lose by waiting.
+1
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Old 31 March 2020, 04:28 AM   #30
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Just wait to see what will happen as the end of April approaches. Pants will start dropping.

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