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Old 10 March 2021, 05:49 AM   #10
7sins
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Quote:
Originally Posted by strettyend View Post
Looking at the 1 year anniversary in terms of what people do in terms of monetizing last years gains at LT cap gains rates? Sorry wasn't totally following...
Quote:
Originally Posted by TradingLoss View Post
Yea sure if everyone likes to play that long-term game. Sure.

/NQ looks like it's setting up for a nice upset.
While it is the one year anniversary, I don't think this causes investors to sell for two reasons. One, most investors did not buy on the first day/week/month during COVID, most waited weeks or months or waited over time. Also moving from ST to LT cap gains makes selling more tax efficient, if investors believe there is more upside momentum, investors won't sell future profits due to their potential cap gains lowering.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TradingLoss View Post
That VIX can flip to 47 overnight. Then you can think of maybe being short vol.
The VIX has surpassed 45 twice in the last 30 years - 08 and Covid. Highly unlikely it moves that high overnight, it is usually over days/weeks. You can short/buy puts in the high 20s and 30s then usually walk away with a profit once mean reversion happens.

Just my .02
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